NBA DFS & Lineups & Picks for March 10, 2018

For the 3/10/18 NBA DFS slate, we’ll take a look at the best picks for the guards, forwards, and centers we’re considering rostering in our Cash and GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. The info below can also be used when crafting your strategy on the FantasyDraft.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis, and value plays at the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice. Always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.


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NBA DFS Slate Breakdown for March 10, 2018

Washington Wizards (TBD) at Miami Heat (Over/Under – TBD)

The Wizards continue to lean on Bradley Beal ($8.8k, $8.3k). He was able to rest a bit in a blowout win over the Anthony Davis-less Pelicans on Friday. The Florida product is worth a look against a tough Miami team considering he averages an impressive 24.5 PPG on 48.1 percent FG shooting on no rest this season. Beal averages 27.3 PPG, 7.7 RPG, and 4.0 APG over three meetings with the Heat this year.

Further down the line, Kelly Oubre Jr. ($4.7k, $5.4k) becomes less appealing with Otto Porter ($6.6k, $7.4k) back in the lineup. Still, he’s worth a punt. Porter’s price tag is exploitable on DK assuming he’s good to go on the second half of a B2B set after playing last night.

While Tomas Satoransky ($5.3k, $5.6k) has slowed down a bit, he just burned the Heat for 19 points and seven assists over a whopping 40 minutes on Tuesday and clearly matches up well against Miami. Markieff Morris ($5.6k, $5.5k) could serve as a solid Cash play with upside if Washington decides to go small.

For Miami, Hassan Whiteside ($6.9k, $7.5k) is tough to use on the second half of B2B sets. Still, he should be good to go for this matchup after scoring 26 points in just 29 minutes against Philly on Thursday. He could slide under the radar in GPPs because he posted weak numbers at Washington on zero days rest when these teams met on Tuesday.

Definitely consider Kelly Olynyk ($4.8k, $4.7k) as a candidate to play a lot at center if both teams go small again. He played 25 minutes on Tuesday and has exceeded value in four consecutive appearances.

Justise Winslow ($5.1k, $5.0k) is slowly becoming more expensive but remains a quality option. Despite the return of Wayne Ellington, Tyler Johnson ($4.9k, $4.8k) remains a strong Cash play with sneaky upside.


Memphis Grizzlies (+8.5) at Dallas Mavericks (Over/Under – 205.5)

The Grizzlies have nothing to play for and have made a practice of resting Marc Gasol on the second half of B2B sets, especially on the weekends.

Gasol’s likely absence explains the high price tag for JaMychal Green ($7.2k, $5.8k) on DK. But he’s a downright bargain on FD tonight. Green has provided versatile production and would fill in as a playmaking big if Gasol rests.

Jarell Martin ($4.8k, $4.5k) would also benefit if he can stay healthy after returning from a knee injury last night. Yet the best values to target on the Grizzlies are guards because Andrew Harrison (wrist), Tyreke Evans (ribs), and Mario Chalmers (hamstring) are all doubtful.

Kobi Simmons ($4.4k, $4.2k) has become a reliable punt with limited upside, while Ben McLemore ($5.4k, $4.6k) is the de facto leader of the Grizzlies’ offense given the circumstances. Dillon Brooks ($4.9k, $4.8k) has also seen a bump due to all these injuries, and even Xavier Rathan-Mayes ($4.3k, $4.2k) will be worth a look against a weak Mavericks defense.

This is actually a decent game to target, but the Mavericks don’t have many trustworthy options.

Dennis Smith Jr. ($6.8k, $6.9k) has the most upside of any Mavs player against a Memphis team that gives up the fourth-most PPG (23.48) to opposing PGs this season. He’s produced 66 points with 22 assists over his last three appearances. As a rookie, he’s still fresh late in the season.

With Wesley Matthews (hip) working his way back, Yogi Ferrell ($4.6k, $4.2k) was able to go off for 24 points over 38 minutes against Denver on Tuesday. Matthews, Dirk Nowitzki, and J.J. Barea are all risky plays on the second half of a B2B set, so Ferrell and Dwight Powell ($5.5k, $5.5k) could benefit if any of those veterans get some extra rest.

You can also punt the SF position with Doug McDermott ($3.9k, $3.7k), who has fit in well with his new team.


San Antonio Spurs (+4.5) at Oklahoma City Thunder (Over/Under – 211.5)

Russell Westbrook ($11.5k, $12.0k) came up short of value in a blowout win over Phoenix on Thursday. Even though he’ll likely play more minutes tonight, the Spurs’ slow pace and disciplined defensive style makes him an undesirable play.

You could use Paul George ($7.7k, $8.4k) against a Kawhi Leonard-less Spurs team that’s giving up the fourth-most RPG (8.48) to opposing SFs this season. PG managed just 26 total points while struggling badly with his shot over two meetings with San Antonio, but he could get going at home tonight.

Then, Steven Adams ($6.5k, $7.2k) is continually overlooked due to his lack of upside, but he’s a great Cash play at center. He’s a bit cheaper than usual on DK against a Spurs team that gives up the most PPG (26.89) to opposing centers over the last month.

Pau Gasol (knee) remains questionable, and LaMarcus Aldridge ($8.4k, $8.7k) is a premier play regardless of his status after carrying the Spurs with 30 points and 17 rebounds in a close loss at Golden State on Thursday.

Kyle Anderson ($5.8k, $6.1k) was also great in the game. He would directly benefit from Gasol’s absence as a playmaker from the high post.

Davis Bertans ($4.5k, $3.9k) is only worth deploying if Gasol is out, while Rudy Gay ($4.9k, $4.0k) seems bothered by his ear injury. He managed just 16 minutes against the Warriors.


Orlando Magic (+11) at Los Angeles Clippers (Over/Under – 221)

Let’s get to the best game to target on this slate. The Clippers are playing at the seventh-fastest pace in the league over the last month, and Orlando ranks seventh in pace on the season. Neither team is playing great defense, and Orlando could be without Evan Fournier (knee) and Aaron Gordon (concussion) for a second consecutive game.

While he draws a tough matchup against DeAndre Jordan, Nikola Vucevic ($8.7k, $9.1k) will continue to serve as the unquestioned leader of Orlando’s offense if Gordon is out.

Then, D.J. Augustin (ankle) has been inconsistent. If his ankle injury limits him, Shelvin Mack ($4.4k, $3.7k) could see more run at PG.

Jonathon Simmons ($5.4k, $6.2k) remains a good value on DK as a wing player who could thrive in a track meet. Mario Hezonja ($5.6k, $4.8k) would be a superior Cash play on FanDuel.

If the Magic go small, Tobias Harris ($8.1k, $8.1k) could thrive against one of his former teams. He’s been incredible for the Clippers and is more reliable than either Montrezl Harrell or DeAndre Jordan. They’ve been splitting time based on matchups.

Lou Williams ($8.5k, $8.0k) is clearly the Clippers player with the most upside, and he dropped 31 point with eight assists in a previous meeting with Orlando.

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Nate Weitzer
Nate Weitzer is a successful DFS player at DraftKings and FanDuel with numerous tournament wins in NBA and NFL contests. He's been writing about DFS for several years, specializing in NBA picks and advice while continuing to build his bankroll across the daily fantasy industry. When he's not playing DFS, Weitzer is often covering high school sports in the greater Boston area for outlets such as The Boston Globe, or playing basketball himself. Follow Nate on Twitter @Nweitzer7.