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NBA DFS DraftKings.com & FanDuel.com Lineups & Picks for April 16, 2018

For the 4/16/18 NBA DFS playoff slate, we look for the best plays in both games for contests on DraftKings and FanDuel. The info below can also be used when crafting your strategy on FantasyDraft.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

4/16/18 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

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PLAYERS RULED OUT
Steph Curry (knee)
Patty McCaw (back)
Joel Embiid (eye)
Dion Waiters (ankle)
Kawhi Leonard (quad)

INJURY NEWS TO MONITOR
Andre Iguodala (leg)

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NBA DFS Playoff Slate Breakdown for April 16, 2018

Miami Heat (+6.5) at Philadelphia 76ers (Over/Under – 215.5)

The Heat were competitive in Game 1 of this series but Philadelphia seemed to solve Miami’s defense while hitting another gear down the stretch.

Ben Simmons ($9.7k, $10.5k) orchestrated everything for the 76ers and his legitimate triple-double upside in this matchup, especially with Joel Embiid (eye) ruled out. He’s averaging 1.4 FPs per minute over his last 10 appearances and logged a team-high 34 minutes despite the lopsided score in Game 1.

Dario Saric ($6.3k, $6.0k) was fantastic with Embiid inactive in Game 1 and seemed to find his stride after battling elbow and facial injuries in the final weeks of the regular season. He’s a recommended option in all formats since he sees a 4 percent increase in usage rate and averages 1.09 FPs per minute when Embiid is off the floor this season.

Marco Belinelli ($4.8k, $5.9k) showed his postseason experience by dropping 25 points on 9-of-17 FG shooting Saturday and he won’t hesitate to keep firing away along with J.J. Redick ($5.8k, $6.2k), who poured in 28 points on 8-of-13 FG shooting. Belinelli came of the bench in the opening minutes and has more upside than Redick relative to their price tags on DK.

While Miami allowed the sixth-fewest 3PTM (9.6) per game this season, the Heat is playing at the third-fastest pace in the league over the last month and is allowing 106.8 PPG since March 1.

Philadelphia was able to push the pace at home and negate a true center in Hassan Whiteside. While Amir Johnson should start the five, he and Whiteside are likely to see limited minutes once again, opening the door for Ersan Ilyasova ($5.7k, $7.3k) to log heavy minutes.

Ilyasova went for 17 points and 14 rebounds over 31 minutes in Game 1 and will likely match up with Miami’s best player Saturday, Kelly Olynyk ($6.1k, $6.4k). The small-ball nature of this game clearly favors Olynyk, who is averaging 1.2 FPs per minute over the last month.

Goran Dragic ($6.2k, $6.3k) struggled with foul trouble and shot just 4-of-14 from the floor in Game 1, but should bounce back after getting his feet wet in his first high-speed action in about a week. Dragic arguably has the most upside of any Heat player with the potential for 4.5x salary returns.

Dwyane Wade ($4.7k, $4.5k) and Hassan Whiteside ($6.7k, $6.8k) are both worth considering in tournament lineups because the Heat could make a conscious effort to slow the game down and keep Philadelphia out of transition. Wade is obviously a clutch playoff performer and he got plenty of rest Saturday since his services weren’t needed down the stretch. Whiteside averaged 1.37 FPs per minute this season and could produce 8x salary returns if he finds a way to stay on the court.

James Johnson ($5.4k, $5.2k) would benefit if the Heat continues to go small, although he’s more of a modest Cash option at this point.

Miami HC Eric Spoelstra seems to like how Justise Winslow ($5.1k, $5.3k) matches up against the athletic young Sixers and Winslow is worth deploying in Cash games after producing nine points, seven rebounds and five assists over 31 minutes on Saturday.

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San Antonio Spurs (+9.5) at Golden State Warriors (Over/Under – 205.5)

The Spurs looked completely outclassed in Game 1 and while you have to have some faith in the ability of HC Gregg Popovich to make adjustments heading into Game 2, this may simply be an impossible matchup for his squad with Kawhi Leonard (quad) unexpected to come to the rescue.

After Leonard was injured in the first game of this series last year, the Spurs lost three games by an average of 20.7 PPG, so Saturday’s blowout shouldn’t come as much of a surprise.

Kevin Durant ($10.5k, $11.8k) cruised to 24 points on 9-of-17 FG shooting Saturday while Klay Thompson ($6.5k, $6.7k) shot a nearly immaculate 11-of-13 from the field. Expect Durant’s numbers to increase in what should be a somewhat closer game tonight, while the Spurs adjust to chase Thompson off the 3-point line.

Andre Iguodala ($4.3k, $4.8k) drew the start as a hybrid PG in Game 1 and would be a great tournament option if he’s in the starting lineup again tonight. However he’s dealing with a lower leg injury and that could open the door for Quinn Cook ($5.5k, $5.5k) to produce as a GPP play.

Cook went for 20 points, five rebounds and five assists in a loss at San Antonio on March 19 and registered double-digit points in 14 straight prior to the Dubs regular season finale and his quiet playoff debut.

Draymond Green ($7.7k, $8.2k) approached a triple-double in Game 1 and is always a good bet for increased production come playoff time.

While LaMarcus Aldridge ($9.2k, $9.7k) couldn’t get much of anything going on Saturday, he at least earned plenty of rest with Popovich waiving the white flag early. Aldridge proved capable of burning the Warriors defense during the regular season and he’s the best correlation play for GPP lineups if you’re hoping for a competitive game at Oracle Arena.

Patty Mills ($4.2k, $4.4k) played a team-high 26 minutes in the blowout loss and could benefit if Iguodala is hobbled or inactive, as Quinn Cook is not the same type of elite defender.

Manu Ginobili ($4.1k, $4.4k) is definitely worth a look as a punt play with upside. He’s averaging 1.24 FPs per minute over his last 4 appearances and averages 18.2 points, 6.4 rebounds, 2.1 assists and an insane 6.4 steals per 36 minutes in his postseason career. Manu should only log around 20 minutes no matter how the game unfolds, but still has the potential to provide 6x salary returns at his modest price tag.

Rudy Gay ($4.9k, $5.8k) posted a 31.5 percent usage rate and Pau Gasol ($4.5k, $4.6k) a 39.8 percent assist rate off the bench for the Spurs. Gay needs to be at his best for the Spurs to have any chance of matching up against the athletic Warriors, while Gasol is worth a look in GPP formats as a player that averages 1.1 FPs per minute and could see extra run if Popovich looks for ways to capitalize on the Dubs lack of size down low.

Dejounte Murray ($5.3k, $6.1k) is a longshot mid-tier play, and if you want to hedge against him playing his way back into Popovich’s favor, you could use Bryn Forbes ($3.0k, $3.7k) as a longshot punt play with the potential for 6x salary returns if he sees steady run off the bench.

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Nate Weitzer
Nate Weitzer is a successful DFS player at DraftKings and FanDuel with numerous tournament wins in NBA and NFL contests. He's been writing about DFS for several years, specializing in NBA picks and advice while continuing to build his bankroll across the daily fantasy industry. When he's not playing DFS, Weitzer is often covering high school sports in the greater Boston area for outlets such as The Boston Globe, or playing basketball himself. Follow Nate on Twitter @Nweitzer7.