The NBA DFS season is winding down. Tonight offers us one of the last nights at large slate action. Some of the GPPs across the industry have been cut in size and prize pool. With lots of people turning their attention to MLB it creates a unique opportunity to hopefully profit in some of these final NBA Days. Lets get into the NBA Daily Plays to see who you should be considering on this 13 game slate.
John Wall has been ruled out for tonight’s game, so that leaves Reggie Jackson and Damian Lillard are the top options for tonight at point guard. Jackson has shown the ability to put up big numbers. He’s topped 40 fantasy points in seven of the last 10 games, including four 50+ fantasy point games. The matchup is also a favorable one as the Celtics have surrendered the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards over the last 10 games. In two games this season, Jackson is averaging 46 fantasy points against the Celtics. Lillard is the other high-end option that’s appealing to me. Much like Jackson, Lillard has a great matchup against the Timberwolves who allow the fourth most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. In fact, Lillard has fared well against them this season. He’s averaging 46 fantasy points in three games against Minnesota. A player I like a lot for tournaments in this price range is Kemba Walker. He absolutely crushed the Raptors in their last meeting. He scored 56 fantasy points in that game. He’s always capable of these types of games, but isn’t as steady as the other two options. Deron Williams’ price continues to increase, but it’s still reasonable and economical enough for him to hit value. He’s topped 40 points in three of the last four games and has a nice matchup against the Hawks. The Nets are hanging on to a playoff spot in the East, while the Hawks already have the number one spot clinched, which means that there’s more at stakes for the Nets and they should come out with more energy. Williams and the Nets have been playing well in recent games and that should continue tonight. Another mid-level point guard that’s in play is Michael Carter-Williams. He’s topped 30 fantasy points in three straight games and has had success against the Cavs this season. He’s averaging 36 fantasy points against them. I’d ride the mini hot streak and plug him in against a team he’s played well against.
Two value plays tonight are Rajon Rondo and Ray McCallum. Rondo is expected to play tonight after hyperextending his knee in Saturday’s game. He is facing the Suns who have recently struggled against point guards as they’ve allowed the fifth most fantasy points per game in their last five games. Rondo is always a threat for a triple-double which can’t be said about many players at his price range. He’s had success against the Suns this season and should have no trouble hitting value. McCallum has been impressive over the last four games. He’s topped 25 fantasy points in each of those games, including back to back 30+ fantasy point games. The matchup isn’t attractive, but the risk/reward factor is. Based on his recent performances and the affordable salary, he should be able to hit value tonight. Lastly, you can’t ignore Ramon Sessions at the minimum salary as he’s expected to get the start against the Sixers tonight. He’s not going to light up the stat sheet, but he’ll get a couple of steals and will score some points. He only needs about 16 fantasy points to hit value, which is something he’s done in consecutive games.
James Harden and Eric Bledsoe are the two top shooting guards available for tonight. I personally would roll with Bledsoe and use the money I’m saving in other positions. Dallas has allowed the most fantasy points per game against shooting guards in the last 10 games, which is something to consider. Not to mention, Bledsoe is averaging 46 fantasy points per game against the Mavs this season, which is 10 more than his season average. There’s not much to dislike about Bledsoe tonight. Some may make a case to start DeRozan tonight, and I do like him, but Bledsoe is cheaper than him on DraftKings and only $100 more on Fan Duel. Therefore, making Bledsoe my top pick at shooting guard tonight. I talked about Kevin Martin in yesterday’s NBA plays and I’ll recommend him again tonight. He clearly shook off the rust as he scored 37 real points against the Kings last night. Martin isn’t consistent by any means but is always capable of nights like the one he had yesterday where he scored more than 50 fantasy points. In the one game he played against Portland this season he scored 42 fantasy points. At less than $6,500 on both sites, it’s almost impossible for him not to hit value. Gerald Henderson is another mid-level player to consider at this position. He’s been playing well in recent games and has decent matchup against the Raptors. Henderson has topped 30 fantasy points in four of the last eight games and he should continue to see a high usage rate as the Hornets deal with injuries. He’s $5,700 on DraftKings and $5,500 on Fan Duel, so there is somewhat value here. Martin offers much higher upside, but Henderson has been more consistent as of late.
Lebron James, Kawhi Leonard, and Gordon Hayward are all in play tonight. These are the top three options at small forward and all have favorable matchups. James is obviously the best option of the three and isn’t as expensive as one would expect on DraftKings ($10,100). He plays the Bucks tonight who he has played well against this season. He’s averaging 27 points, 8 assists, 7.5 rebounds, 2.5 steals, and 50 fantasy points against the Bucks. Before finalizing your lineup, make sure to check his status prior to the games as some of the Cavs starters could be rested in the next couple of games. Leonard would be my second option because of what he brings to the table and the fact that he isn’t much more expensive than Hayward. Leonard is always a threat to score 50 fantasy points. He’s topped 50 fantasy points twice in the last 10 games and scored 49.75 in one game. The Spurs host the Rockets tonight, a team that allows the fifth most fantasy points to opposing small forwards. Leonard has scored 20 or more real points in three consecutive games and there’s a good shot he makes it four in a row. This is a big game for the Spurs as they try to make their way up the standings in the Western Conference.
Two mid-level small forwards to have in mind for tonight are Andrew Wiggins and Tobias Harris. It’s just a matter of what you’re looking for. Harris is more consistent than Wiggins, but Wiggins offers the higher ceiling. Wiggins also has the better matchup of the two tonight based off of recent games, he’s the better play. He has topped 40 fantasy points in three of the last seven games, but has also fallen below 30 fantasy points in two of those games. Either of the two can be plugged into your lineups with no worries tonight. My two value plays at small forward tonight are Rodney Hood and Omri Casspi. The Jazz face the Kings who they played against on Sunday. In that game, Hood scored 40 fantasy points. I’m not expecting a repeat performance from him, but the Kings do allow the fourth most fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards. With Rudy Gay officially out Casspi is in play once again. In the last four games, he’s topped 30 fantasy points twice and has been productive in each of those games while filling in for Gay.
The top four power forwards on both sites are all in play. It really is a matter of how much you’re willing or able to spend on this position. Anthony Davis is obviously the one who offers the highest ceiling of the group, but he also has the toughest matchup. I’d say LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol make more sense tonight. Aldridge rested on Monday night against the Nets, but is expected to be back on the court tonight against the Timberwolves. Minnesota surrenders the second most fantasy points per game to power forwards, so Aldridge should have his way against them. He’s one of the most athletic big men in the league and is tough to cover. If you want to save a couple of bucks, then Pau Gasol is also a great option. He leads the NBA in double-doubles and is having a great year. He faces Orlando who allows the third most fantasy points per game to power forwards. Gasol has had his way with the Magic this season as he averages 49 fantasy points per game against them. He’s the cheapest of the three top power forwards, but could actually make the best play.
If you’re not planning on paying up for this position, maybe some of the mid-level players can be of help. Ersan Ilyasova, Kenneth Faried, and Thaddeus Young are all solid options. Young is playing the Hawks who will be without Paul Milsap tonight and is averaging 34 fantasy points per game against them in three games this season. Ilyasova might be the best option of the three as he’s both consistent and offers a pretty high-ceiling. He’s topped 30 fantasy points in six of the last 10 games, including three 40+ fantasy point games. He hasn’t been as successful against the Cavs this season, but I’m not too concerned about that. He is the cheapest of the three on Fan Duel. A couple of value plays at this position tonight are Anthony Tolliver (if Greg Monroe sits), Ryan Anderson, and Tarik Black. While none of these guys have consistent floors, each of them are priced low enough that hitting value wouldn’t be too difficult. Black is $3,900 on DraftKings and $4,300 on Fan Duel and has topped 20 fantasy points in four straight games.
With Boogie out for tonight’s game, Andre Drummond is the top option at center in tonight’s slate. Drummond takes on the Celtics who he has completely dominated this season. He’s averaging 22.5 points, 18 boards, 4.5 blocks, 2 steals, and 60.5 fantasy points against them. In the last eight games, he has topped 40 fantasy points six times, including four 50+ fantasy point games. For $8,500, I’ll take that on DraftKings every day. Nikola Vucevic is another good option for a bit more of an economical price. He has scored more than 40 fantasy points in three of the last four games. He’s consistent and is always capable of the big game.
If you’re going to be more frugal at this position, Jonas Valanciunas is a mid-level center to consider. While the matchup isn’t a favorable one on paper, the Hornets are without Al Jefferson tonight. Valanciunas needs about 34 fantasy points to hit value tonight, which is something he’s been able to do in three of the last four games. Marcin Gortat and Tyson Chandler are two other centers that are affordable and in play. Gortat faces the Sixers tonight, a team he averages 36 fantasy points against. The Sixers surrender the most fantasy points per game to opposing centers and Gortat could be in for a higher usage rate as Washington will be without John Wall. My value play tonight is none other than Bismack Biyombo who is starting for the Hornets. He has topped 25 fantasy points in four consecutive games and is coming off a big game against the Heat last night where he scored 43 fantasy points and got a double-double. He should be able to hit value once again tonight.
Good luck to all tonight!