We have a smaller 7 game DFS MLB slate tonight. Once again weather will play a vital role in tonights decisions. Make sure you are up to date before letting your rosters lock. If you missed the news Yahoo jumped into the DFS offerings yesterday. Lots of overlay on tap for tonight so make sure you check them out. We will be adding them to our MLB DFS strategy tomorrow. Let’s get into the best pitchers and stacks to target.
Zack Greinke, Los Angeles Dodgers (FD $11,200, DK $11,200) – So, Greinke is really really good and the Philadelphia Phillies are really really bad. How is that for analysis? I do not know what else to say about this match-up as the Dodgers are -326 favorites in this one tonight. The game has an over/under of 7 runs, which should nearly all be scored by the Dodgers lefties as they get to hack against Severino Gonzalez.
Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners (FD $11,400, DK $11,000) – King Felix has dominated this Angels team so far this season as he has thrown 20 innings and struck out 26 while allowing just 2 runs on 9 hits. This is going to be a great match-up as no offense in baseball has been as hot as the Angels have over the last week. Hernandez and the Mariners are a -131 home favorite in this game and the game offers us an over/under of 7 runs.
Jose Fernandez, Miami Marlins (FD $9900, DK $9800) – Did you know that Fernandez has never lost at Marlins Park? You do now! Fernandez looked pretty solid in his return from tommy john and should be able to build off of that start tonight against a Reds team that can certainly be shut down. I think his offensive teammates get him some run support against Lorenzen. The game has an over/under of just 7 runs and Fernandez and the Marlins are a -131 favorite.
Cody Anderson, Cleveland Indians (FD $6400, DK $6300) – Anderson has gone 7.2, 8 and 8 innings in his first three career starts and has managed to give up just 2 runs over those 3 starts. He has not been a big time strike out guy over his 3 starts as he has managed just 10 K’s, however the Astros team tends to strike out a high percentage of the time, which should give Anderson a 7 or 8 K upside type game tonight. Anderson and the Indians are a -140 favorite and that number seems to be climbing.
Alex Wood, Atlanta Braves (FD $8000, DK $7700) – This is more of a guy feeling as Wood travels to Coors to take on the Rockies tonight. Wood has some impressive ground ball rate games and he does offer high strikeout potential. Obviously the weather is a bit scary as is the ball park factor, however I think he has the stuff to go in and put up a solid start at Coors and if that is the case, you get him at low ownership. (I guess you could classify him in the GPP category, as there just is not a ton of value options tonight)
David Price, Detroit Tigers (FD $11,000, DK $10,800) – The Detroit Tigers are 14-3 in Price’s 17 starts so far this season and they are 9 games under .500 in all other games. He is averaging over 7 runs of support per start which is always a nice thing to see for a starting pitcher. He falls into the GPP plays section because his opponent, Minnesota Twins, loves to rake against left handed pitching. So far this year against the Twins Price has gone 15 innings while striking out 12 batters and has allowed just 3 runs on 11 hits. Price and the Tigers are a -130 road favorite in this one.
Carlos Martinez, St Louis Cardinals (FD $10,000, DK $9400) – The Pittsburgh Pirates scare me for some reason, even though they probably shouldn’t as Martinez has been dominant all season long. Martinez has allowed more than 2 runs just once in his last 10 starts (3 runs allowed to Miami, with 9 K’s). The Pirates got to Martinez earlier this season and really roughed him up as he went 5.1 innings and allowed 7 runs on 7 hits with 4 walks, but he did manage to strike out 7 in that game. The line has moved from the Cardinals being a small favorite to the Pirates being a -111 favorite in a game with an over/under of 7.
Los Angeles Dodgers: Joc Pederson (FD $3500, DK $3900), Adrian Gonzalez (FD $3600, DK $4700), Yasmani Grandal (FD $3600, DK $4300), Andre Ethier (FD $2400, DK $3500) – The Dodgers bats get to take on Severino Gonzalez and his near 9.00 era, along with his over .400 batting average allowed to left handed hitters. You certainly can include Kendrick, Turner and Puig in any stack and I am somewhat intrigued by Jimmy Rollins as well as he has swung it really well in this series against his old team.
Detroit Tigers: Yoenis Cespedes (FD $3600, DK $4500), Victor Martinez (FD $3600, DK $4700), J.D. Martinez (FD $4600, DK $5600), Nick Castellanos (FD $2700, DK $3700) – The Tigers took it to Mike Pelfrey the last time they faced off and I expect a similar outcome tonight even though Pelfrey has been ridiculous at home so far this season. I certainly like the idea of including Kinsler and Avila in any stack to go with the 4 above. Castellanos has been on a roll the last few games.
Atlanta Braves: Cameron Maybin (FD $4300, DK $5000), Nick Markakis (FD $3200, DK $4000), Kelly Johnson (FD $3500, DK $3600), A.J. Pierzynski (FD $3400, DK $3800) – The Braves get to take their hacks in Coors tonight against Kyle Kendrick, who is the leader in all of baseball in home runs allowed so far in 2015. The Braves lineup is not overly strong, however I think Uribe makes an interesting addition to a stack. I love the left handed hitters for the Braves tonight and you just can’t leave Maybin out of your stack with the way he has been playing.
Miami Marlins: Dee Gordon (FD $3100, DK $4800), Christian Yelich (FD $3300, DK $4500), Justin Bour (FD $2800, DK $3000) – The Marlins are my under the radar stack tonight as Lorenzen gives up a lot of hard contact and tends to give up home runs in bunches. I think you can include Hechevarria should he be in the 3 spot (which I have no idea why he has been) and I think Morse and Dietrick make interesting options thanks to their power potential as well.
I bet you are not shocked that there is some weather issues in Colorado yet again are you? There is also a little bit of weather concern in Pittsburgh, however it does not appear to be in extreme danger. I think you can make a case for the top 6-8 priced pitchers tonight as they should all put up decent stat lines, its just a matter of who you like and who fits with who you want in your lineup. I think the Indians are an under the radar stack as most will see a lefty taking them on and bypass their lineup. They actually hit left handed pitching decently. Houston’s offense is certainly capable of blowing up any night and even though I like Anderson as a value play, he certainly does not scare people from a strikeout standpoint which means any time the Astros make contact, the ball could not come back.