We have a 12 game MLB slate to take a look at today with our eyes on the GPPs, so let’s get into it. We will start with pitching, discuss some stacks, and move on to some other guys we are trying to fit into our rosters. It’s been a solid start to the season, so let’s keep it going with our MLB DFS Fantasy Strategy.
Last season, we had stud pitchers priced over $11,000 get you 3 points or more per thousand dollars of cost on about one in three tries. Felix has done it in three of his first five games. The upside to a solid outing by the King is nearly unmatched for consistency and upside by any other pitcher in the league. The big question tonight is spend up for him or Kershaw, but for me, I think Felix is the way to go. His floor has been under Kershaw’s, so keep that in mind for cash games, but his ceiling has been well above and that is why he is the better GPP play in my eyes.
Others: Clayton Kershaw, Dallas Keuchel
Martinez has looked like the stud many expected him to be. He has a WHIP of 1.04, an ERA of 1.73, and about a strikeout per inning of work. He gets a matchup with the Cubs who have some big bats, but they are young free swinging bats that have the second most strikeouts in the league so far. Martinez has strikeout upside in this one and is expected to pitch well as a -150 favorite in a game with only 7.5 runs expected. His price is cheap in places and he gives you safety and tournament upside if he reaches his ceiling.
Others: Clay Buchholz
Los Angeles Dodgers
With everyone focused on Coors, I think the Dodgers stack wins someone a GPP and a trip to Vegas in a Q tonight. Lohse struggles with left-handed bats and has been giving up a ton of homeruns. The Dodgers have been smacking a ton of homeruns off right handed pitching and doing it in a much tougher place to do so in their home park of Dodgers Stadium. You can bet Pederson, Either, Gonzalez, and Grandal are all in play today. I can’t pay the Goldschmidt Coors Premium when Adrian Gonzalez has been a better hitter, is getting his preferred splits matchup, and plays in a top 5 park for homeruns allowed against a pitcher who has given up 8 in 30 innings of work.
New York Yankees
The Yankee bats are waking up, everyone is healthy, and that lineup looks pretty solid right now the way guys are hitting. Ellsbury, Gardner at the top is the best table setting duo in New York in a long time. A-rod and Tex have both outperformed expectations already. McCann is bouncing back nicely after a really rough first season. Beltran is sixth, Headley seventh, so that’s a pretty long solid lineup.
No matter what site you do play on, there’s a limit to how many bats you can take from one team. Therefore while stacking has shown the best results in GPPs, you do need to include a few other guys in that mix. Here’s a couple of guys we have our eye on today who might be the guys you need to work in those line ups.
Oakland A’s LHBs vs Hughes
Josh Reddick, Stephen Vogt are definitely on my radar and remember they switched spots in the batting order at 3 and 5 now. Ike hitting sixth is not horrible either here. Hughes gives up fly balls and runs this year. Looking for the left handed power in Oakland to produce off of him today.
Man the Algo’s hate this team, but players have loved the returns from guys like AJ Pierzynski, Kelly Johnson, and Alberto Callaspo so far this year. Those guy all hit in the top five of that order and Harang has come back down to earth after his hot start. The DK prices are downright cheap on all the Braves bats. Freeman is the one most people like, but he has not been paying off for me and I’d prefer the saving these other guys provide to your lineups.
Felix and Kershaw should limit the ownership of each other a little as they split the SP1 money. Martinez makes a lot of sense and Buchholz is really sneaky in a good matchup against a team he just dominated. Check out his start two back and be thankful his last is bad. Could keep his ownership low and make him a stud GPP play.
As for Bats, I hate when there’s a game in Coors. You have to have some exposure to it and the salaries are now jacked up. Still that is a huge over/under game so you can’t completely fade it for cash. I really really like the Dodgers today. I think that is the premium match up and am hoping the Coors effect keeps those guys low owned. If you are lefty and wearing Dodger blue, I want you in my lineup tonight. Use some of the Braves to fill out your stacks as they are cheap today and make sure you have exposure to both sides at Coors. It’s going to be a good night for 50/50s with the Coors game, but it makes GPP play tough unless that game yields nothing which I do not see happening.