The MLB DFS Strategy takes a close look at this 12 game slate for Wednesday May 13. We dive into pitchers and stacks to target for your GPP lineups on Fanduel and DraftKings. We then round it out with some other bats to fill in your lineups.
Pirates(-125) @ Phillies 6.5
Braves @ Reds(-145) 8
Marlins @ Dodgers(-145) 7.5
Mets(-120) @ Cubs 6.5
Blue Jays @ Orioles(-125) 8.5
Twins @ Tigers(-150) 8.5
Yankees @ Rays(-115) 7.5
Royals(-130) @ Rangers 8.5
Giants @ Astros(-120) 8.5
White Sox @ Brewers(-125) 7.5
Rockies @ Angels(-165) 8
Padres(-115) @ Mariners 7
Matt Harvey, NY Mets (FD $10,300, DK $10,400) – Harvey is always going to find himself here as he just has disgusting stuff. Tonight he is a -120 favorite on the road against a Cubs team that can swing and miss more than any team in baseball, but they are certainly capable of blowing up an opposing pitcher. I think Harvey finds himself in a great spot and reaches double digit K’s tonight (bold prediction).
Francisco Liriano, Pittsburgh Pirates (FD $9500, DK $8900) – Liriano looks to be in the best position tonight as he gets to take on a very weak Phillies lineup. For Liriano in 2015 he has been filthy against righties and not so much against lefties and I expect his numbers against lefties to get back to his career averages and I think Liriano approaches double digit K’s as well.
Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies (FD $9400, DK $10,100) – Hamels gets to oppose Liriano tonight in what should be an exciting pitching match-up. The Pirates are sending out 8 right handed hitters tonight which could hurt Hamels as he has been giving up a number of home runs so far this year. I think Hamels is a good contrarian GPP play tonight as most will stick with Liriano and Hamels is capable of throwing out big games as he took down Harvey his last time out.
Jimmy Nelson, Milwaukee Brewers (FD $6900, DK $6100) – I really like Nelson’s upside as he showed it the last time out in striking out 11. I feel like he is always under owned and tonight he faces a white sox lineup that just does not scare me from a power perspective and Abreu just isn’t swinging with any authority right now.
Aaron Sanchez, Toronto Blue Jays (FD $6400, DK $5900) – I like Sanchez a lot tonight as he has been devastating against right handed hitters and in general, that is what Baltimore runs out in their lineups. Chris Davis has him hit pretty hard and that will be an interesting match-up, but I think overall Sanchez makes a great play tonight and could certainly surprise as long as he keeps his pitch count down.
Raisel Iglesias, Cincinnati Reds (FD $3000, DK $5000) – Want to see what kind of a hitting lineup you can throw out there? Plug Iglesias in on FD and load up with your offense. I have him in this spot here because of his price and at just $3K on FD, I think he certainly covers up his salary and allows you to go big on Home Run potential tonight.
Jason Hammel, Chicago Cubs (FD $8500, DK $7700) – I love Hammel as a GPP play tonight as he takes on Matt Harvey and the Mets, at Wrigley. He has been pitching very solidly and the Mets offense has been very stagnant of late, which makes me think he might have the highest upside tonight. We just saw Arrieta put this Mets offense to sleep last night and that could continue tonight.
Detroit Tigers: Anthony Gose (FD $3200, DK $3400), Ian Kinsler (FD $3500, DK $4400), Miguel Cabrera (FD $4600, DK $4900), Victor Martinez (FD $3500, DK $4800) – Add in JD Martinez and Yoenis Cespedes against Ricky Nolasco and you have what is probably the most potent possibilities tonight. I like Gose a little more than the two I just listed in a 4 man stack because of his ability to get on base, steal bases and score runs ahead of Kinsler, Cabrera and VMart.
Cincinnati Reds: Billy Hamilton (FD $3400, DK $4300), Marlon Byrd (FD $2900, DK $4400), Joey Votto (FD $3700, DK $4500), Todd Frazier (FD $3600, DK $4500) – Big fan of the Reds taking on Eric Stults tonight and really wish Mesoraco was 100% healthy as he would be a great inclusion. I can’t decide between Hamilton and Phillips as part of this stack, I left Hamilton in because of his upside but his floor is much lower.
Minnesota Twins: Brian Dozier (FD $3500, DK $4800), Torii Hunter (FD $3500, DK $5000), Trevor Plouffe (FD $2900, DK $4500) – Add in Mauer (left on left match-up) as well as somebody like Vargas, who has been swinging it a lot better of late. I really love taking the Twins against a lefty and they are always under owned. This makes for a great GPP option and I certainly will have some MIN stacks everywhere.
Milwaukee Brewers: Jean Segura (FD $2600, DK $3900), Khris Davis (FD $3000, DK $4100), Ryan Braun (FD $4100, DK $4900), Carlos Gomez (FD $4000, DK $5100) – Another team I love to stack against a lefty as they have some righties that can dominate left handed pitching. This Brewer team has really turned it around over the last week or so and I could see this group of 4 hitting 3-5 home runs tonight, I really can.
New York Yankees: Jacoby Ellsbury (FD $4300, DK $4600), Brett Gardner (FD $3900, DK $4800), Alex Rodriguez (FD $3500, DK $4000) – I want to include Teixeira, McCann and even Beltran as they are all in play against a pitcher who does strike out a number of guys but also gives up the long ball and I read earlier that his HR to flyball % is something like 33% so far this season. This stack has a high ceiling but it does come with a very low floor.
Chris Davis, Baltimore Orioles
Luis Valbuena, Houston Astros
Anthony Rizzo, Chicago Cubs
Buster Posey, SF Giants
Mike Moustakas, Kansas City Royals
Eric Hosmer, Kansas City Royals
Justin Maxwell, SF Giants
Andrew McCutchen, Pittsburgh Pirates
Marlon Byrd, Cincinnati Reds