Today’s slate is split with 5 games happening this afternoon and 6 more going off tonight. We are focusing on the late slate of games. As always, make sure you pay attention to the teams lineups as well as the weather.
I know he is the most expensive pitcher on the board and we tend to shy away from that guy for GPPs, but on a short slate like today and with few if any other options, he is the main play. Cueto has the upside to get you 3 points per $1000 of cost today, depite being priced around $10K all over. He is good and we should not penalize him for that. If we had a plethora of other options in the $8K range that were viable I could say fade him for GPPs, but we do not and therefore you should not.
I know some might think I am crazy here, but I really like Hutch tonight. He usually struggles with left-handed bats and Houston has none to fear. Valbuena probably the best and he does not scare me. Houston also has the high K rate so they provide a nice floor and Hutch has thrown a few 20 DK point games already, which is what we would need here. It’s a high risk, high reward play, but given the weakness below Cueto, I think you need to link him with a low owned flyer to make the top. Hutch is my favorite guy who fits the bill.
New York Yankees
I think the Yankees go off pretty highly owned against Erasmo Ramirez and the Rays Bullpen. I say that because Ramirez has yet to get into the fifth inning since becoming a starter after being a long relief guy early. The Yanks have flashed power, have some speed up top, and a lengthy line up of solid yet unspectacular bats. They should be in a good spot to do some damage, but the Rays bullpen is not horrible and the ballpark is not hitter friendly, so I think you can find someone else who can outscore them at high ownership, Such as:
Toronto Blue Jays
Yep they are expensive so they do not fit in value wise there, but they should go off lower owned. Fausto Roberto Hernandez Carmona is not a good pitcher anymore. He relies on location and trickery to get batters out. Toronto has a lineup filled with guys who can take advantage of a mistake and launch one out of the park. Houston may not be Toronto, but it’s still a great place to hit homers and I expect the Jays to have a few of them. The splits are not great, but Carmona is not great against one side or the other either, so everyone with power is in play. Price restricts a lot of others from using them, so they tend to be a lower owned option.
I love the M’s today. Cano, Cruz, and Seager will be in a lot of my lineups and the guys around them are cheap enough to make the stack work and give you money for Cueto and some decent bats. Kelly is a bit of a gas can and the Seattle stadium should help keep those ownership numbers down. I don’t expect many homers, but Nelson Cruz has the power that plays in any park. Seager and Cano are hitting better and have a sweet matchup, so the heart of that order all looks primed for upside today.
No matter what site you do play on, there’s a limit to how many bats you can take from one team. Therefore while stacking has shown the best results in GPPs, you do need to include a few other guys in that mix. Here’s a couple of guys we have our eye on today who might be the guys you need to work in those line ups.
One bat I really want today is Joey Votto. Votto gets a R/L split with Lincecum who has been trash away from home. Votto is one of the best hitters in baseball and has smashed Righties so far this season. He plays in a hitter friendly Cincy ballpark too, so he should produce a nice fantasy line today.
Bryce Harper and Denard Span
While Tyson Ross does have K potential and San Diego is a pitcher friendly place, I still think the hot bats of Span and HArper do some damage. Left-handed hitters tend to do better with Ross and these two guys are two of the hottest in baseball right now. The Park and pitcher will keep ownership low, so they also give you that added boost in your GPP play. Just be careful Harper is not suspended for getting tossed yesterday.
If you need to save some salary, I suggest looking at these two. One or oth of them has been hitting up top that order in front of the Kemp/Upton pairing. It’s a really nice spot that helps you see more pitches to hit and be in position to score more runs. Those big bats have started well, so the guys on in front of them have been getting knocked around the pond often and those runs really help the score of a cheap option like these two.
The Rockies go up against another lefty, so Rosario should get another chance as a catcher or DH today. The one thing he does well in a baseball uniform is crush LHP and at only $3200 on DK in a tough to fill position, I think he offers great value.Just be careful, because the manager hates him and he tends to be sat for no good reason a lot of the time.
Whether you are playing on a one or two pitcher site, Cueto should be in your lineup. He has the most upside today and you will be hard pressed to get a big score without him. I think the options below him are weak and the GPP strategy today is to pair him with a cheaper option and hope you get 50 points between the two and spend $17K or less on it so you have money for bats.
As for that money, you want to get some big bats into your lineup today. We mentioned the teams like the Yanks, Mariners, and Blue Jays as some of the bats you want to work in. Rosario and Solarte are other guys who will allow you to do that. Votto is in a nice spot and so are all the lefty Cincy bats. Same goes for the lefties on Washington although the ballpark will limit that upside some as will a tougher matchup with a decent Tyson Ross. Overall it feels like a GPP day to me with only 6 games and not a lot of SP certainty outside of Cueto.
On FD, I think you are crazy if you fade Cueto, but on DK I think you can do it if you guess two cheap guys right and load up on the right bats. It’s not easy or recommended, but that line of thinking has been known to pay off with a big GPP score, especially if Cueto throws up a dud like he did two weeks ago.