After a very exciting card last weekend the UFC stays in the Southern Hemisphere as UFC Fight Night 66 comes to you from the Philippines. The fight card will be taking place and broadcast early Saturday Morning so make sure you get your DFS rosters set Friday night.
I was really happy with my picks last weekend as almost every fighter I chose performed well. There were several big knockouts (which makes winning a big gpp hard) and almost no fight went the distance. This week the card features a pretty big “superfight” between legendary fighters of the game but then drops off significantly after that. There’s some young talent on this card but a lot of unknowns too. Like any UFC card however there will be the potential for some really good entertainment regardless of who is actually fighting and I’ll be trying to give you the best advice on who to rosters for fantasy purposes.
As always be sure to check out both DraftKings and Kountermove for the best DFS MMA games. Kountermove is a site devoted entirely to MMA/Boxing DFS and includes games on almost MMA cards, not just the UFC.
Frankie Edgar (-425)
Urijah Faber (+365)
The main event of this fight features two veteran fighters and former world champions. This has been labled as a “superfight” since these two fighters are not in the same weight class. Faber generally fights at Bantamweight while Edgar at Feather. Faber will be coming up in weight for this fight and given he was already the underdog I can’t see this helping him as Edgar used to fight at lightweight and did very well there. Faber is used to being the stronger more physical fighter in a lot of his matchups and I don’t think he’s going to have that same advantage over Edgar. Edgar is definitely the more polished all around fighter and he will likely have a much higher strike rate than Faber who doesn’t use combos as much but loves to get his strikes in as part of larger grappling or wrestling maneuver so to speak. A straight up striking match favours Edgar. Both fighters have lost a little given they are well into their 30’s but Faber is still a tremendous athlete and is dangerous at all times. Still, I see Edgar controlling this fight on the feet and gaining a larger advantage as the fight wears on. Faber’s athleticism always makes him “live” for a submission or TKO victory but I don’t think Edgar is a great matchup for him. I think Edgar by decision or late round TKO is likely and I expect Edgar to rack up a ton of fantasy points through his strikes.
Odds to win: -570
My pick for best fantasy play amoung the favourites this week is Gegard Mousasi. While there are some interesting matchups between very inexperienced fighters on this card, none of the other fighters offers the upside or experience of Mousasi. One of the main reasons I like Mousasi in this fight is that his opponent is essentially a one dimensional fighter who relies on a power striking game. Mousasi offers excellent defense however and a better and more fluid striking game. He also significantly outclasses his opponent on the ground and in pretty much every other facet of this fight. There’s always a chance a power striker gets a big punch and scores an upset but in this case I’m much more confident Mousasi steps in and takes care of a much less skilled fighter in quick fashion. He’s expensive but there’s some good underdogs on this card you can pair him with.
Odds to win: -570
This pick is really more about taking advantage of a weak opponent. Barnatt is a decent figter who can be very explosive with his striking, especially when in the clinch. He’s a tall rangy athlete who can certainly end a fight early with his aggressiveness. He has lost his last two fights though and looked a little out of sorts in doing so. But the reason I like Barnatt is that his opponent is the 37 year old Mark Munoz who is essentially fighting his last bout in the UFC. Munoz got beaten handily by a much worse fighter in his last bout and Barnatt is in desperate need of a victory to keep his place in the company. Munoz will be fighting in his native country but I think Barnatt is a strong enough fighter that he should be able to end the ever slowing Munoz quickly. Barnatt’s price makes him a great gpp option with high upside since he has the potential to finish Munoz early.
Yui Chul Nam
Odds to win: -170
Now we start getting into the fighters most people are not familiar with. Nam is a big striker who will absolutely hold an advantage on the feet in this matchup. He’s facing a one-time hot prospect, and TUF alum in Nover who is a well-rounded fighter, but who is also making his UFC return after a 5 year absence. Nam is the up and comer in this bout and will be the more powerful and active striker. Nover is a good enough athlete that he could somehow pull off a victory here but in a card full of unknowns I think this matchup significantly favours Nam. He gives you TKO upside with the added fantasy value of being a more active striker. He’s a solid option for me this weekend.
Odds to win: -350
Makashvili is one of the cheaper underdogs on DraftKings this week but I’m not sure why. He is without a doubt the more inexperienced of the two fighters but also I think the more talented and more well-rounded. Both Makashvili and Eddiva are solid strikers and this should be one of the more exicting fights on the card, but I really like Makashvili and think he’s the more technically sound and better all-around athlete. While Eddiva has power Makashvili just seems faster and should be able to out-strike his opponent. He’ll also have a massive advantage should the fight go to ground. Makashvili is getting hit hard in betting and is now a massive favourite, he’s a fighter not to ignore on DraftKings or any site this week.
Tae Hyun Bang
Odds to win: +135
With a name like “Bang” you pretty much expect a fighter to be a good striker and that is certainly the case here. Bang is the perfect type of underdog for fantasy because his striking game is all about looking for the knockout. There’s no doubt he is the less well-rounded fighter in his matchup but he is also the stronger fighter in my opinion and that should hopefully allow him to keep the fight standing for as long as he needs to. This should be an interesting matchup with lots of fantasy potential. At Bang’s price of under 5k on Kountermove I really like him as a pick to pair with bigger ticket fighters and would suggest using him in some gpps.