The MLB DFS Strategy runs through this short late slate of MLB action. It is aquick 6 game slate. Lets go over the best pitchers, stacks and other bats to consider when filling out your FanDuel or DraftKings lineup.
Pirates(-120) @ Padres 6.5
Braves @ Giants(-125) 6.5
Red Sox @ Rangers(-118) 9
Yankees(-115) @ Athletics 7.5
Tigers @ Angels(-145) 8
Indians(-125) @ Mariners 7
Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians (FD $10,500, DK $11,600) – Kluber looks to continue his ridiculous strike out run tonight as a -125 favorite at Seattle. I think Kluber is the top option of the night and you certainly will have to pay for it. CJ Wilson is the biggest favorite on the board (which I will get into later), but I think Kluber is the most likely to get a win with the way the Indians offense is swinging it.
AJ Burnett, Pittsburgh Pirates (FD $9600, DK $10,100) – Burnett and the Pirates are a -120 road favorite tonight in a game with an over/under of just 6.5 runs. Burnett leads the majors in ERA so far in 2015 and has looked absolutely filthy up to this point. I am normally all over him but for some reason I have a gut feeling that leaves me somewhat reserved when it comes to rostering Burnett tonight. Trust me, I understand that Burnett is allowing hitters to hit .183 against him on the road and he has an ERA of just 1.11 in his 5 road starts so far. All of the numbers plus the struggles of the Padres offense screams must start. Do not get me wrong, I will certainly have Burnett somewhere today but there is just something that tells me to pump my brakes.
Shelby Miller, Atlanta Braves (FD $9300, DK $9300) – Shelby has been ridiculous this year after being dealt to Atlanta for Jason Heyward. The Braves-Giants game has an over/under of just 6.5 tonight with Miller facing off against Heston. Miller has 2 complete games through 9 starts this season and is really showing himself to be a staff ace. Much like Burnett, he has pitched better on the road so far this season as he holds batters to a .152 average with an ERA of just 1.36 on the road.
Buck Farmer, Detroit Tigers (FD $5600, DK $4300) – Farmer gets the call up today to face the Angels and after struggling mightily in a small sample in the majors last year, Farmer has started 2015 in Triple A and has been extremely effective. The Angels have struggled against right handed pitching so far this season and I feel like the Angels being a -145 favorite is a bit too high as I think the Tigers offense is a very dangerous spot for the Angels starting pitcher, CJ Wilson. Farmer gets to face an Angels team that struggles against righties while CJ Wilson faces a Tigers team that does great work against left handed pitching.
Eduardo Rodriguez, Boston Red Sox (FD $4600, DK $5200) – Rodriguez is a highly regarded pitching prospect in the Red Sox organization and he is getting the call today in what could be a very important audition for him as there are a lot of MLB experts that think he has the stuff to stick in this rotation right now. This game does offer us the highest over/under of the night at 9 runs and his opposing pitcher is Nick Martinez who has been pitching insanely well this season. I think this is more of an under the radar, contrarian pick because this Rangers offense has been extremely potent recently.
James Paxton, Seattle Mariners (FD $7300, DK $7700) – In the GPP section you are going to find the opposing pitchers to two of the studs of the night. Paxton goes up against Kluber and the Indians tonight in a game that could feature a strike out total that nears 20 by the end of the night. Paxton has held righties to a .198 average this season so it will be interesting to see if the Indians stick with their mostly lefty heavy lineup against the lefty tonight.
Chris Heston, San Francisco Giants (FD $6500, DK $6100) – I think Heston could be your sleeper of the night as he faces off against Shelby Miller and the Braves. If he can find a way to contain Freeman, Markakis and Pierzynski tonight, he could be in an excellent spot as he has held right handed hitters to an average of .229 with just 1 home run. Heston has shown us huge upside this season but he has also blown up as well, so tonight’s game will be interesting to see.
New York Yankees: Brett Gardner (FD $3500, DK $4100), Alex Rodriguez (FD $3300, DK $4100), Mark Teixeira (FD $3800, DK $4300), Brian McCann (FD $3100, DK $4400) – Graveman is coming off of a very good outing in which he went 6 shutout innings but this Yankees offense is extremely dangerous right now and I think are in a great spot tonight against the rookie who has struggled most of this year so far. Chase Headley is also in play as I would assume he is in the 2 spot again tonight.
Detroit Tigers: Rajai Davis (FD $3100, DK $3600), Ian Kinsler (FD $3300, DK $4000), Miguel Cabrera (FD $5000, DK $4900), Yoenis Cespedes (FD $3100, DK $4100) – I really love the Tigers stack tonight going up against a lefty in CJ Wilson that gave up 2 home runs in his last start. I really like JD Martinez, Castellanos and James McCann tonight as well and would not fault anybody for wanting to stack this lineup a few different ways.
Cleveland Indians: Jason Kipnis (FD $4800, DK $4700), Carlos Santana (FD $3700, DK $4000), Ryan Raburn (FD $2400, DK $2600) – This is an interesting one tonight as the Indians face a lefty in James Paxton. The Indians have a few guys who hit lefties very well (Santana, Raburn, Aviles, Gomes) but Paxton is holding righties to an average of under .200 while allowing lefties to hit .375. I think this is one you can stack a few ways as well to include Aviles, Gomes and Brantley.
Pittsburgh Pirates: Neil Walker (FD $2800, DK $3700), Andrew McCutchen (FD $4300, DK $4700), Starling Marte (FD $3800, DK $4300) – I think this Pirates stack will be somewhat under owned and would not fault somebody for including Harrison, Kang, Alvarez or even Polanco in this one. Ian Kennedy has really struggled so far in 2015 and has given up 6 home runs in 4 home starts so far. Left handed hitters have 14 of the 19 extra base hits he has allowed this season. I could not leave out McCutchen and Marte above but I think there is some merit in trying to stack Walker, Alvarez and Polanco.
Mike Trout, LA Angels
Hanley Ramirez, Boston Red Sox
Freddie Freeman, Atlanta Braves
Marcus Semien, Oakland A’s
Prince Fielder, Texas Rangers
Brandon Belt, San Francisco Giants
Yoenis Cespedes, Detroit Tigers