Good morning everyone! We have a nice 7-game early set to get you started on this Saturday. We will take a quick look at the game lines and then get into some pitchers and batters that I like for this early slate. Lets get into the DFS MLB Rundown.
Toronto @ Minnesota: Over/Under: 8.5
Colorado @ Philadelphia: Over/Under: 7.5
Tampa Bay @ Baltimore: Over/Under: 8.5
Arizona @ Milwaukee: Over/Under: 8.5
Chicago White Sox @ Houston: Over/Under: 8.0
Miami @ New York Mets: Over/Under: 7.5
Washington @ Cincinnati: Over/Under: 8.0
Dallas Keuchel: (FD: $9,400 / DK: $8,700)
Keuchel has been an elite pitcher this season, posting a 1.98 ERA in 10 starts. Keuchel allowed 2 HR last start out but still was able to log 8 innings. Keuchel is 3rd in the league in BABIP (.222) and Ground Ball Percentage (63.3%) both of which make Keuchel an elite target in CASH GAMES today. The upside is limited with a K/9 rate of just 6.07. Regardless, the Stros’ are the biggest favorite on the slate today and is a solid bet for success.
Aaron Harang: (FD: $7,900 / DK: $7,000)
At 37 years of age, Harang has still got it. He’s quietly been one of the most effective pitchers this season, allowing batters to slash just .218 / .267 / .318 this season and has been even better at home. He’s allowed just TWO earned runs in 4 starts at Citizens Bank Park. If you’re looking to save money for your 2nd pitcher on DK, Harang is an excellent play at just 14% of your overall salary.
Chris Davis: (FD: $3,400 / DK: $4,500)
When Chris Davis is on a home-run tear, you don’t want to miss out. Davis has homered 4 times in his last 3 games. Oddly enough, RHP Erasmo Ramirez has limited LBH to a wOBA of just .274 but it only takes one mistake for Davis to go deep. Because of his boom-or-bust nature, Davis is not recommended as a cash game play but might be better suited in GPP’s, especially with Ramirez’s success vs. lefties.
Carlos Ruiz: (FD: $2,400 / DK: $3,200)
Looking to save money? Look no further than Carlos Ruiz at catcher. Ruiz has posted a career OPS of .813 vs. LHP and is 6/11 vs. De La Rosa in his career with 2 XBH. Ruiz has had success vs. LHP already this season, going 7/16. He may not be the same player he once was, but he’ll provide salary relief with some upside at an already weak position.
Paul Goldschmidt (FD: $5,100 / DK: $5,500)
Goldy has been..well..himself this year but I’m not sure we could have predicted a .337 / .444 / .628 line with an ISO of .291. Kyle Lohse has allowed 7 of his 11 HR’s to RHH, allowing a .367 wOBA. There’s no reason not to pencil in Goldy at 1B in ALL FORMATS if you’re not going with Davis in GPP’s.
Giancarlo Stanton (FD: $4,400, DK: $4,600)
I don’t typically like to put obvious plays on the board but Stanton’s price, and matchup makes him a MUST PLAY in all formats. You can easily fit him today and he’s rocked Niese in the past going 11/27 vs. him with 3 HR’s. Stanton has a career .407 wOBA vs. LHP and is an elite play in ALL FORMATS.
Baltimore Orioles (vs. RHP Erasmo Ramirez)
As mentioned earlier, while Ramirez has been stingy vs. LHB, he’s struggled mightily vs. RHB allowing a line of .312 / .391 / .491. The O’s have always been great at home in a very hitter-friendly ballpark. The O’s have hit the 5th most HR’s vs. RHP and are a a stack with major upside today.
Good luck today!!
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