Let’s take a look at tonight’s 11 game slate and focus on those games instead of the few early ones that are kicking off now. We will take a quick look at the game lines and then get into my favorite pitchers and stacks in the MLB DFS Strategy
|Home||Away||Spread Home||Over/Under Goals|
|Detroit Tigers||Toronto Blue Jays||-1.5||8.5|
|Pittsburgh Pirates||Cleveland Indians||-1.5||7.5|
|New York Yankees||Tampa Bay Rays||-1.5||7|
|Cincinnati Reds||Milwaukee Brewers||1.5||8|
|Boston Red Sox||Houston Astros||-1.5||9|
|Atlanta Braves||Philadelphia Phillies||-1.5||7.5|
|Texas Rangers||LAA Angels||1.5||9|
|Kansas City Royals||Minnesota Twins||-1.5||7.5|
|Chicago White Sox||Baltimore Orioles||1.5||8|
|St. Louis Cardinals||San Diego Padres||-1.5||7|
|Oakland Athletics||Seattle Mariners||-1.5||7|
|Arizona Diamondbacks||Colorado Rockies||-1.5||9|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||New York Mets||-1.5||6|
Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians (FD $11,000, DK $10,400) – This is an interesting match-up as Kluber is a -135 favorite on the road in Kansas City. The Royals swing at a lot of pitches but do not manage to strike out very much which is what makes this match-up so interesting. Kluber has 50 strikeouts over his last 4 starts. Which side is going to cave in this one?
Chris Sale, Chicago White Sox (FD $10,400, DK $10,600) – Sale is a -140 favorite on the road in Texas in a game with an over/under of 8.5. I can not tell you the last time I have seen Sale pitching in a game with an over/under that high. It may not have ever happened as far as I know. Sale has struck out double digit batters in 3 of his last 4 games, much like Kluber. Over those 4 starts, he has gone 7.2, 8, 8 and 8 innings.
James Shields, San Diego Padres (FD $9300, DK $9400) – Shields has 8 less K’s on the season than Kluber does, but has done it in 8 less innings. Tonight they both look to be the first guys to cross the 100 K mark on the season. Shields has struck out 88 in just 68.1 innings in 2015 and is a -145 home favorite tonight in a game with an over/under of 6.5.
Lance McCullers, Houston Astros (FD $5600, DK $5600) – McCullers has looked the part of a big time pitching prospect as he has fanned 18 guys in just 15 innings over his first 3 starts to his career. The big negative on him so far is that he runs his pitch count up rather quickly and will have a tough time going much more than 6 innings. McCullers is a -135 favorite against the Orioles tonight.
Nathan Karns, Tampa Bay Rays (FD $6600, DK $6400) – Karns and the Rays are underdogs against the Angels tonight as the Angels are -135 favorites in a game with an over/under of 7.5. Karns has not given up more than 2 runs in his last 6 starts and is coming off of a 6 inning, 1 hit, 7 k performance his last time out while the Angels may experience a bit of a hangover as they were punched out by Chris Archer 15 times last night.
Sonny Gray, Oakland Athletics (FD $10,100, DK $8600) – Gray and the A’s are underdogs in Detroit tonight as the Tigers are just a -105 favorite and this game has an over/under of 8 runs. Gray is a ground ball pitcher who offers a double digit strikeout ceiling. The Tigers offense is generally scary however they have been prone to being shut down this year and tonight could be one of those nights as I think Gray will be under owned because of the opponent.
Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies (FD $9900, DK $10,100) – Hamels is a -145 home favorite tonight in a game with an over/under of just 7 runs. I think you could include Hamels in the stud category, however there is something about the Reds lineup that has me a little scared as they are potent against left handed pitchers. Hamels can be prone to the long ball at times and he is pitching in a band box tonight. With that said, I think he could certainly pay off in a GPP with a gem of a game.
LA Dodgers: Joc Pederson (FD $4100, DK $5100), Howie Kendrick (FD $3600, DK $4800), Adrian Gonzalez (FD $4500, DK $5400), Andre Ethier (FD $3300, DK $4400) – The Dodgers are again at Coors Field which has lead to plenty of runs so far this week. I would include just about anybody in this lineup as I would expect Grandal to be in the lineup and I think Guerrero might find himself playing after his pinch hit game winning Slam last night. Bettis is coming off of his near no hitter last time out and I think he is in for a rude awakening tonight.
Washington Nationals: Yunel Escobar (FD $2500, DK $3400), Ian Desmond (FD $3200, DK $4200), Bryce Harper (FD $5800, DK $5100), Ryan Zimmerman (FD $2800, DK $4200) – The Nationals get to take on Mark Buehrle tonight and are in a great spot to smack around the lefty. Over Buehrle’s last 10 starts he has only given up less than 3 runs just three times and the last time out he gave up 4 runs in the first inning against the Twins but managed to right the ship after that. I am thinking the Nationals get to him for 4+ runs in the first 3 innings of this game tonight as they have a potent lineup against left handed pitching. I would include Ramos and whoever is playing second in this game and do not mind Michael Taylor as a flyer.
Chicago Cubs: Dexter Fowler (FD $3500, DK $4400), Kris Bryant (FD $4500, DK $4600), Anthony Rizzo (FD $4100, DK $4700) – You will probably always see me somewhere with a Cubs stack as their offense is just so dangerous. You can certainly add to this stack with the 4-6 spots of this lineup, but I will be focusing on these 3. Dan Haren has been homer prone throughout his career and when they come, they come in bunches as he doesn’t just give up a random solo home run. I am going to predict that the Cubs get to Haren with at least 2 long balls tonight, who do you think is going to get him?
Oakland Athletics: Billy Burns (FD $3300, DK $3300), Stephen Vogt (FD $3600, DK $3900), Josh Reddick (FD $3100, DK $4200) – I certainly would include Ben Zobrist and possibly Billy Butler in this one as I think Anibal Sanchez could be in for a long night as it seems that he can only throw gems against the Minnesota Twins this season. He has given up 13 home runs in his 8 starts not against Minnesota over his last 10.
Tonight’s pitching slate does not compare at all to last night’s and I think tonight will offer some pretty solid offensive box scores. My initial look has me worried about weather in a handful of places and I am a bit scared and will have to let the day play out and try to read more about them as I am definitely not a weatherman. Rain and weather has a chance to interfere with games in Washington, Philadelphia, Colorado and Kansas City. I think an under the radar sneaky team to stack is the Cleveland Indians as they are up against a lefty, but Jason Vargas is not your typical lefty and he is not afraid to give it up to both righties and lefties. I also think the Blue Jays are interesting going up against Taylor Jordan tonight as his last start he went just 4.2 while giving up 3 runs and striking out just 1 batter. I will tell you that I am going to roster Mike Bolsinger on one roster tonight as he has been pitching exceptionally well all season and I think he can limit damage in Coors and should be in line for a win.
My DONG of the Night
Joc Pederson, LA Dodgers