Today brings us a 9 game slate which is split up with 3 afternoon games and 6 evening contests. We will run through some of the best pitchers and stacks to target for both slates in our MLB DFS Strategy.
|Home||Away||Spread Home||Over/Under Goals|
|Detroit Tigers||Toronto Blue Jays||-1.5||8.5|
|Pittsburgh Pirates||Cleveland Indians||-1.5||7.5|
|New York Yankees||Tampa Bay Rays||-1.5||7|
|Cincinnati Reds||Milwaukee Brewers||1.5||8|
|Boston Red Sox||Houston Astros||-1.5||9|
|Atlanta Braves||Philadelphia Phillies||-1.5||7.5|
|Texas Rangers||LAA Angels||1.5||9|
|Kansas City Royals||Minnesota Twins||-1.5||7.5|
|Chicago White Sox||Baltimore Orioles||1.5||8|
|St. Louis Cardinals||San Diego Padres||-1.5||7|
|Oakland Athletics||Seattle Mariners||-1.5||7|
|Arizona Diamondbacks||Colorado Rockies||-1.5||9|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||New York Mets||-1.5||6|
Garrett Richards, Los Angeles Angels (FD $8600, DK $8900) – I will start this out by saying it is a really really rough pitching day/night and that is obvious by see who I list in the studs category. I really like Richards’ stuff overall even though he has been struggling over his last 4 starts as he has given up 19 runs in those starts and has gone 2-2 over that span. Tampa Bay is one of the teams he faced during his recent 4 game stretch and he did come away with the win even though he gave up 3 runs in 6 innings while striking out just 4 batters. At some point he is going to turn it around and has monster upside.
Chi Chi Gonzalez, Texas Rangers (FD $6700, DK $5600) – Chi Chi has pitched very well over his first 2 major league starts as he has gone 14.2 innings and has allowed just 5 hits and 0 runs so far over those 2 starts. The concerning thing is the fact that he has struck out just 4 batters while walking 7. With that said, I like his match-up against a struggling Oakland team after he just went out and threw a complete game shutout against the Royals on the road. I think he makes a very popular SP2 pick on DK and think he deserves consideration as your pitcher on FD.
Chris Rusin, Colorado Rockies (FD $5800, DK $5400) – I know, I know Rusin is a Rockies pitcher but it is so tough to ignore the way he has pitched in the Majors so far in 2015. He has thrown 18.2 innings and allowed just 3 runs while striking out 15 and is 2-0 so far. The Rockies offense has been somewhat awakened recently and I like their match-up against David Phelps in this one. My initial lineups have me using Rusin somewhere around 30% on DK , of course that will probably change as I tweak and dig.
Tanner Roark, Washington Nationals (FD $6600, DK $6700) – I am just waiting for Roark to explode and show us the stuff he showed off last year in the majors. I think he is starting to feel more and more confident after starting the season out in the bullpen and is starting stretch out and as his arm builds up I think you have a high ceiling type starter for the Nationals and the Brewers just have not been very dangerous this season and have dealt with some injuries here and there which makes it tough for them to find consistency.
Tim Lincecum, San Francisco Giants (FD $8400, DK $8100) – I am going to ride Lincecum one more time before he finds his way on my do not roster list at this point as he has struggled over his last 3 starts as he has given up 4 runs in each while giving up 5 home runs and striking out just 13 hitters. On paper, I really like the match-up against the New York Mets and Lincecum should be able to find a way to neutralize the left handed hitters in this lineup. The Giants offense also gets to take on Niese and should be able to get to him early for some run support.
Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves (FD $7700, DK $7700) – I am liking Teheran for today/tonight because of how much he has burned other DFS’ers so far this season. This means his ownership % will be lower than it should be on this slate. Teheran has really struggled this season with an ERA nearing 5.00 and a WHIP sitting at 1.45 so far. He has been victimized by the home run this season and as soon as he figures that out I think he will get back to the guy that he has been the last few years.
Chicago Cubs: Dexter Fowler (FD $3200, DK $4700), Kris Bryant (FD $4100, DK $4900), Anthony Rizzo (FD $4400, DK $5500), Miguel Montero (FD $2500, DK $3100) – I like how dangerous this Cubs team is and they take on a pitcher who can bring it in the upper 90’s however lacks control and has a problem with that fastball straightening out. I would pay attention to the lineup and go with whoever they lock into the 4 spot and would be willing to go 5 or 6 deep on DK for my stack as I think they are the slate’s highest scoring team.
Washington Nationals: Denard Span (FD $2800, DK $4200), Anthony Rendon (FD $3500, DK $4300), Bryce Harper (FD $5600, DK $5700), Ryan Zimmerman (FD $2300, DK $3900) – Garza has thrown a couple of gems in a row recently, however was victimized by the long ball all season long leading up to his two most recent starts. I think this Nationals team has a chance to put up a big number in this game and would not be afraid to include guys like Desmond and Espinosa depending on the lineup.
Baltimore Orioles: Manny Machado (FD $3200, DK $4300), Adam Jones (FD $3300, DK $4600), Matt Wieters (FD $3300, DK $4200) – Miley has pitched pretty solidly of late, however I love the Orioles offense against left handed pitchers and I think this is a spot to get them somewhat under owned. I think Pearce, Delmon Young and even JJ Hardy make interesting additions to an Orioles stack. I would not have an issue with trying to stack their lineup a few different ways to cover your bases.
San Francisco Giants: Joe Panik (FD $3300, DK $3600), Buster Posey (FD $3700, DK $4100), Angel Pagan (FD $2200, DK $3400) – There really is nothing sexy about the Giants lineup as there is a chance that Hunter Pence ends up returning to the DL, however they just manage to put up runs and they get to take on a lefty that is inline to see himself moved to the bullpen in favor of a young up and coming star. I really like the idea of include Duffy in a stack as he and Panik just continue to out perform all projections. I think a sneaky double stack on FD will be the Orioles and Giants.
What an ugly slate as the pitching is just ugly on Thursday and the offenses just are not all that intriguing either. I think it is going to be a pretty low scoring night and this could be a night to not stack and just try and get yourself as many home runs as possible into your lineups, especially on DK. Of course with that said, if one team manages to go off for 8+ runs, that stack is probably going to run away with the night. As of writing this, I see rain possibly interfering with the games in Atlanta and New York. I would definitely pay attention to the weather and be prepared to abandon either of the games.
Anthony Rizzo, Chicago Cubs