The key to tonight is picking the right stud pitching as Kershaw, Bumgarner, Price and King Felix all are on the mound. It seems like almost everyone will be paying up for pitching so if you want to go contrarian look for a mid priced pitching option in our value section.
Phillies @ Pirates(-170) 8.5
Braves @ Mets(-125) 7
Rockies @ Marlins(-130) 8
Nationals(-125) @ Brewers 8
Dodgers(-200) @ Padres 6
Diamondbacks @ Giants(-180) 6.5
Indians @ Tigers(-150) 7.5
Yankees @ Orioles(-108) 8
Blue Jays @ Red Sox(-120) 9
Twins @ Rangers(-145) 9
Mariners(-170) @ Astros 7.5
Athletics @ Angels(-125) 7.5
Royals @ Cardinals(-125) 7
White Sox @ Rays
Clayton Kershaw, LA Dodgers (FD $12,000, DK $12,800) – Guess who is back? That is right, Kershaw has returned to his Cy Young self and has been filthy over his last 3 starts as he has gone 22 innings and allowed just 2 runs while striking out 28 and allowing just 10 hits. He has been extremely efficient in those starts as he has averaged exactly 100 pitches in each start while averaging 7.2 innings pitched. He takes on a Padres team that got to him for 3 runs in 6 innings earlier this season, but he managed to strike out 9 in that game. Kershaw and the Dodgers are a -200 favorite and the game has an over/under of just 6 runs.
Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants (FD $10,600, DK $10,200) – The initial look has me second guessing my thought as Bumgarner as a stud tonight as the Diamondbacks hit lefties extremely well, however this game has an over/under of just 6.5 runs and Bumgarner and the Giants are -180 in this one. Unlike Kershaw, Bumgarner has struggled a bit over his last 3 starts as he has allowed 11 runs over 20.1 innings but he has managed to strike out 20 over those 3 games. He also has faced off with the D’Backs twice so far this season and has given up 5 runs over 14 innings in those games while striking out just 7.
Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners (FD $11,800, DK $11,300) – Hernandez gets to take on the strikeout happy Houston Astros tonight in what should be a very interesting match-up. Hernandez and the Mariners are a -170 road favorite in this one and the game has an over/under of 7.5 runs. Hernandez has yet to face the Astros this season and has really struggled with his control recently as he has walked 8 in his two June starts. If you take Altuve (8 for 18) and Rasmus (7 for 10) out of the numbers, the rest of the Astros roster has gone just 19 for 114 (.167) against Hernandez in their careers with 39 strike outs.
Wandy Rodriguez, Texas Rangers (FD $6700, DK $5700) – Wandy has turned back the hands of time and is pitching more like his 30 year old self than what he has done over the last few years. He has 9 starts so far in 2015 and has allowed 3 earned or more in just 3 of those 9 starts. In 5 of those starts he has allowed just 1 earned run and he is coming off of a very strong start against the strong vs lefties lineup of the Royals as he went 7 innings while allowing just 1 run on 6 hits and striking out 4 and managed to pick up the W. Wandy and the Rangers are -145 home favorites in this one against the Twins.
Hector Santiago, LA Angels (FD $7400, DK $7200) – I debated this game a bit as I really like Jesse Chavez but I think Santiago is in the better spot after getting a few extra days of rest. The A’s are much better against righties than they are against lefties and Santiago managed to shut them down back in April as he struck out 8 in 6 innings while allowing just 3 hits and 1 run en route to the W. Santiago and the Angels are only -125 home favorites in this one but the game does have an over/under of just 7.5 runs.
David Price, Detroit Tigers (FD $10,900, DK $10,700) – Price and the Tigers are a -150 favorite in this one and the game has an over/under of 7.5 runs. The Indians have a potent offense but Price has the ability to neutralize them and of course its a nice bonus that he is left handed and the majority of the Indians hit from the left side. The last time out against the Indians he went 5.2 innings and gave up 0 earned runs (3 runs total) and struck out 6.
Jordan Zimmermann, Washington Nationals (FD $8700, DK $8100) – Zimmermann gets to come home to Wisconsin today and take on his home state Brewers. Zimmermann and the Nationals are a -125 favorite in this one and I think that number should creep closer to 150 by the end of the day as the Brewers lineup just does not scare me. He has held right handed hitters to a .238 average so far this season and the Brewers are very right handed heavy.
Toronto Blue Jays: Jose Reyes (FD $4100, DK $5200), Josh Donaldson (FD $5000, DK $5200), Jose Bautista (FD $5100, DK $5500), Edwin Encarnacion (FD $4100, DK $5000) – The Blue Jays are in a great spot tonight against Joe Kelly and the Red Sox as Kelly has struggled terribly all season and has been spanked by the Blue Jays over 11.2 innings this season. In those innings Kelly has allowed 11 runs while walking 10 and giving up 9 hits against the Blue Jays and has given up 2 long balls to them so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates: Gregory Polanco (FD $3000, DK $3800), Starling Marte (FD $3800, DK $4900), Andrew McCutchen (FD $4800, DK $5200), Pedro Alvarez (FD $2800, DK $3700) – There is a reason why Correia could not make a major league roster out of spring training and had to exercise an out-clause to get released. The Phillies need to find some guys to eat innings, but I do not think Correia is the answer to that. The Pirates should get to him today and show the Phillies why Correia just might be done.
Tampa Bay Rays: Joey Butler (FD $3100, DK $3800), Evan Longoria (FD $3100, DK $3800), Logan Forsythe (FD $2800, DK $3200), Steven Souza Jr (FD $3300, DK $4100) – Does anybody think that John Danks is actually a good pitcher? I definitely do not and as you have seen recently, I am a HUGE fan of the Rays against left handed pitching. The initial look at career numbers against Danks leaves a bit to be desired however do not let that fool you as Danks is just not good and these guys traditionally rake against left handed pitching.
Los Angeles Dodgers: Joc Pederson (FD $3800, DK $4100), Yasiel Puig (FD $4400, DK $4300), Adrian Gonzalez (FD $3400, DK $3900) – I love the Dodgers against Despaigne and the Padres tonight and would not be opposed to stacking them in a few different ways. I listed these three as they are the most obvious and should be the highest owned of the Dodgers hitters tonight. I can not believe how much Gonzalez’s price has plummeted and I think he makes a great buy low option as first base is generally very stacked and tonight is no different.
The overall pitching tonight is very tough to decide on because of the prices of the studs and the addition of legitimate SP2 options for the slate. There appears to be some rain concerns in St Louis, Detroit, Baltimore and Pittsburgh as of writing this and I would definitely pay attention to those spots as there are some players in nice spots in those games. I really want to remind you all that the MLB DFS season is full of ups and downs and I really suggest not getting too high or too low as it is a marathon season and each day is a brand new day for you. I compare it a lot to the poker life I lived previously as you just want to continue to play your best and put yourself in the best possible spots and at some point they will all come together and you will have a huge night/week/month.