The big question of the night is going to be: Should I pay up for pitching or pay up for some premium stacks and find some pitching value? Hopefully I can give you options for both in our MLB DFS strategy.
Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers (FD $12,300, DK $12,900) – Kershaw is really rounding into form and has been mowing down hitter after hitter. Tonight he is the number 1 option and to me it is not even close, even with all the solid pitchers taking the hill. The Rangers offense does not scare me on the road without their DH and against a left handed pitcher as Kershaw should neutralize guys like Choo, Gallo, Fielder and Moreland. Kershaw has double digit strike outs in 3 of his last 4 starts.
David Price, Detroit Tigers (FD $10,900, DK $11,300) – Price has thrown back to back complete games with the most recent one being a complete game shutout with 8 strike outs. He gets to take on a Reds offense that is generally much better against right handed pitching and have a few guys that are very strike out prone. Price also gets the bump of having to face a pitcher hitting in the 9 spot in this one and that should offer a boost to his K numbers. On any other night, Price would be a run away number 1 option.
Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants (FD $10,500, DK $10,700) – Bumgarner might be over looked tonight due to all the pitching options and I think he makes a sneaky stud play against a Mariners lineup that can be very left handed heavy and has been missing one of their right handed mashers in Mark Trumbo. If this game was in San Francisco, Bumgarner would be giving Price a run for his money for the number 2 spot. I do not think Kershaw is going to struggle but should he and you decide to go Price and Bumgarner and are able to find enough offense, you could certainly fire your way up the leader boards.
Joe Kelly, Boston Red Sox (FD $6700, DK $5600) – I can’t believe I am recommending Kelly again, however he has been pitching better of late and gets to head to the national league to face off with what many would call an uninspiring Braves offense. Kelly had some starting success in the NL for the Cardinals and this may be a spot where he shows us his upside as he should get a couple of K’s from the pitcher spot in the lineup.
Chase Anderson, Arizona Diamondbacks (FD $6800, DK $5900) – Over his last 2 starts, Anderson has allowed just 1 run in 12.2 innings pitched while striking out 8 and allowing just 9 hits. I think he is an under the radar play to pair along with Kershaw as he has the stuff to neutralize guys like Trout and Pujols and shut down the Angels lineup. The Angels tend to be more intriguing against a left handed pitcher. The Angels also lose their DH in this one as well.
Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners (FD $11,400, DK $10,300) – Normally you’d see Hernandez in the studs section but he has been struggling of late and just does not seem to be himself. He has an excellent start sandwiched by two duds as in those two sandwich starts he has gone a combined 5 innings and allowed 15 runs while striking out 5 and walking 7 batters. He also faces off with Madison Bumgarner in this one and this game should offer us the lowest over/under of the night.
Carlos Martinez, St Louis Cardinals (FD $9400, DK $8400) – I had to get Martinez included somewhere as the man has been pitching as well as anybody in baseball and gets to take on what tends to be a bad Twins offense against right handed pitching. Martinez has given up just 5 runs over his last 6 starts while striking out 44 in those 6 starts. He is priced in that mid range (near the top of it) and might be over looked as people will probably try to go really cheap to pair with Kershaw or Price.
Houston Astros: George Springer (FD $4700, DK $5400), Carlos Correa (FD $3900, DK $4800), Jose Altuve (FD $4500, DK $5300), Evan Gattis (FD $4200, DK $5100) – The Astros get to take their hacks at Coors tonight and I think I am going to stack them a few different ways so I can have exposure to 1-8 of their lineup basically. I have Gattis in this stack but should he sit since there is no DH, then I would include somebody like Rasmus, Tucker or Carter depending on the order. Valbuena hit a couple of home runs yesterday and will probably be a popular option as well.
Pittsburgh Pirates: Josh Harrison (FD $3600, DK $4500), Starling Marte (FD $4000, DK $5200), Andrew McCutchen (FD $4600, DK $5100), Jung-ho Kang (FD $2900, DK $3800) – I am going to ride the Pirates yet again as they get to face off against their third straight left handed starter and this one happens to be the worst of the bunch as they face John Danks tonight. I do not mind Cervelli and Sean Rodriguez in this one and suggest to pay attention to the lineup as they could give Harrison or Marte the night off and go with Tabata. Jordy Mercer is always sneaky against a left hander as well.
Baltimore Orioles: Manny Machado (FD $3500, DK $4800), Adam Jones (FD $3400, DK $4800), Chris Davis (FD $3300, DK $4500) – Much like the Pirates, I will continue to ride the Orioles right now as they are just on fire and spanking around has-beens who take the mound against them. Adam Jones is day to day as of this writing and may get another night off, I would include anybody in the top 6 and would not be against stacking this lineup two or three ways in order to cover my bases.
Colorado Rockies: Charlie Blackmon (FD $3900, DK $4500), Troy Tulowitzki (FD $4700, DK $5000), Nolan Arenado (FD $4300, DK $4700) – The other side of the Coors game has the Rockies taking their swings against Brett Oberholtzer. I just included the three above as I assume they will be in the lineup, however I would not be afraid to stack the top 4-6 and really like Wilin Rosario should he be in the lineup.
Toronto Blue Jays: Josh Donaldson (FD $4700, DK $4700), Jose Bautista (FD $5200, DK $5100), Edwin Encarnacion (FD $4100, DK $4800) – Love stacking the Jays against a left handed pitcher and they get one that is not pitching very well this season in Niese. I generally skip over Reyes as he just does not do it for me and with this stack you’ll want to punt somewhere and that could be at short stop tonight. I think guys like Martin, Colabello and even Pillar are in play in this one.
We are blessed with an interesting night of baseball as we have a bunch of excellent pitching options to go along with a number of stack-able offenses. I listed an extra stack above and I could have added another couple of options such as the Arizona Diamondbacks against a left handed starter, the Cubs and the Yankees are also on my stacking radar as I really like their match-ups.
My DONG of the Night
Chris Davis, Baltimore Orioles