The MLB DFS Strategy goes over my favorite pitchers and stacks for Friday nights MLB action. We have a full 15 game slate to sort out for tonights GPPs at FanDuel and DraftKings. Lets take a quick look at the game lines and then get into my favorite plays for tonight.
|Home||Away||Spread Home||Over/Under Goals|
|Detroit Tigers||Toronto Blue Jays||-1.5||8.5|
|Pittsburgh Pirates||Cleveland Indians||-1.5||7.5|
|New York Yankees||Tampa Bay Rays||-1.5||7|
|Cincinnati Reds||Milwaukee Brewers||1.5||8|
|Boston Red Sox||Houston Astros||-1.5||9|
|Atlanta Braves||Philadelphia Phillies||-1.5||7.5|
|Texas Rangers||LAA Angels||1.5||9|
|Kansas City Royals||Minnesota Twins||-1.5||7.5|
|Chicago White Sox||Baltimore Orioles||1.5||8|
|St. Louis Cardinals||San Diego Padres||-1.5||7|
|Oakland Athletics||Seattle Mariners||-1.5||7|
|Arizona Diamondbacks||Colorado Rockies||-1.5||9|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||New York Mets||-1.5||6|
Max Scherzer, Washington Nationals (FD $12,500, DK $14,000) – I shouldn’t have to say much about Scherzer in order to make him your top option tonight. The only thing I have reservations on is his price tag. That number, especially on DK, is extremely high and the question then becomes can you put together a group of legitimate bats along side of him. I have not looked at the Vegas lines yet, however I would have to believe he is something like a -350 favorite in this game.
Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians (FD $11,000, DK $10,300) – Kluber has not been all too impressive of late and if you pair that with the fact that Scherzer is going tonight, you get Kluber with a pretty low ownership percentage and I think that could be a great thing for GPPs. The Orioles lineup has looked a bit off without Adam Jones, so definitely pay attention to who they will be running out tonight.
Francisco Liriano, Pittsburgh Pirates (FD $9900, DK $10,00) – Stop me if you have heard this before, but Liriano has an extremely positive match-up and I think will be the second highest owned pitcher of the night behind Scherzer as he gets to take on a punch less Atlanta Braves offense as their best hitters are left handed and they are without Freddie Freeman. This is one of those spots that Liriano has routinely let us down in, will that change tonight? I am willing to bet on the yes.
Vincent Velasquez, Houston Astros (FD $6600, DK $4600) – Velasquez is the best option to pair with Scherzer in order to make a legit lineup of bats. Velasquez has not gone over 5 innings so far in his young major league career and has had issues with the base on balls, however even with short outings filled with walks, he has averaged 12.7 DK points per game. If he can somehow get us 6-7 innings tonight, I think he can get us around the 20 point mark on DK and more than pay off his cheap salary.
Trevor May, Minnesota Twins (FD $6400, DK $6300) – May has given up just 5 runs over his last 4 starts, 3 of which came in one against the Cardinals. He has been pitching really well and he has 24 strikeouts in those 4 starts and he gets to take on an ice cold Milwaukee Brewers team tonight with his offense getting to take it to Kyle Lohse. I think the W is very much attainable for May at his cheap price.
Johnny Cueto, Cincinnati Reds (FD $10,600, DK $10,600) – You will see that my two GPP plays pitch against each other and that is one of the main reasons they are both here. The big reason why Cueto is here is the fact that he has been dealing with some arm issues and has had his starts pushed back recently so it worries me that he is not 100% and they seem to be wanting to baby him while trying to decide if they are going to be sellers at the trade deadline.
Noah Syndergaard, New York Mets (FD $8000, DK $8100) – The Reds had their game last night take 13 innings and then they had to travel to New York so they may be less than their best as they take on the young future star. Syndergaard has been extremely up and down but has flashed great strikeout ability and can certainly shut down an offense with his hammer curve.
Toronto Blue Jays: Josh Donaldson (FD $4100, DK $5400), Jose Bautista (FD $5100, DK $5800), Edwin Encarnacion (FD $3900, DK $4600), Russell Martin (FD $3500, DK $4200) – I think the Jays are in a great spot as they get to take on Nicholas Martinez and the Rangers tonight. Martinez is a reverse splits pitcher who gives it up to right handed hitters and the Blue Jays are loaded with right handed bats. On DK, I certainly can see you including Colabello and/or Pillar.
Detroit Tigers: Rajai Davis (FD $2700, DK $3700), Miguel Cabrera (FD $5200, DK $5300), Victor Martinez (FD $3300, DK $3600), Yoenis Cespedes (FD $3700, DK $4400) – I would also include Ian Kinsler as he should be in the 2 spot as well as including JD Martinez. The reason I went Rajai over him is JD has gone just 2 for 14 career against Quintana with 6 punch outs. The four guys I have listed above have gone 41 for 98 with 16 extra base hits (6 bombs) in their careers against Quintana. Enough said right? Well for the BvP haters, realize that Quintana has given up 14 runs to the Tigers so far this season.
Colorado Rockies: Charlie Blackmon (FD $4400, DK $4400), Troy Tulowitzki (FD $4000, DK $4100), Nolan Arenado (FD $4500, DK $4400) – Feel free to include LeMahieu, Paulsen and CarGo should he be back in the lineup. The Rockies might not jump off the page as a must stack team with the ball park shift to AT&T however it has been announced that the Giants starter tonight, Tim Hudson, plans on being placed on the DL following this start. That just does not sound like a good thing for the Giants to me as the Rockies get to take on a wounded starter tonight?
Houston Astros: George Springer (FD $4000, DK $4800), Carlos Correa (FD $4000, DK $4900), Jose Altuve (FD $4000, DK $4200) – I think the Astros are a sneaky option tonight against the hard throwing righty in Eovaldi. His stuff stays pretty straight and the young Astros are aggressive and should be able to get to him. You certainly could include Gattis, Rasmus, Tucker or Carter in any stack as well. I chose the top 3 here because of what they can do on the base paths as well.
Tonight has me intrigued just based on the price of Max Scherzer as I want to see what the general population around the industry does in their decision to roster Scherzer or not. I did not get to mention somebody like Arrieta who has been pitching well and faces a Cardinals team that hasn’t exactly been exploding with offense of late. One team that I nearly mentioned to stack was the Washington Nationals as they get to face the struggling Aaron Harang in Philadelphia. I am not sure if Harper will be back in the lineup so that is something we will want to pay attention to.