We have a split slate to go over for todays MLB DFS Strategy. Since we have only 4 games in the early slate we will focus mainly on the late slate to give you some various pitchers and stacks to target for your FanDuel and DraftKings rosters.
Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers (FD $12,500, DK $13,300) – Those are 2 high price tags for a non All-Star, I am just saying! Anybody want to bet against Kershaw tonight after being snubbed? I definitely do not and I will be finding a way to get him in a good number of my lineups. Initial look tells me it’ll be easier to do on FD than on DK, however I feel like I will be finding ways to be creative today. Oh and by the way, Kershaw and the Dodgers are a -390 favorite as of right now.
Jacob deGrom, New York Mets (FD $10,800, DK $10,700) – I am a big fan of deGrom tonight as he gets to face a cold Giants offense while coming off of a rough start against the Cubs. deGrom and the Mets are a -116 road favorite in a game with an over/under of just 6.5 runs. deGrom has no-hit stuff and is a threat for a complete game shutout any time he takes the mound. The big question mark is do the Mets have enough offense to help him out?
Chris Archer, Tampa Bay Rays (FD $10,600, DK $10,600) – Archer continues to just dominate everybody he faces and tonight he takes on a very tough opponent in the Kansas City Royals. The Royals do not strike out very much and they make pitchers work against them, which could be a rough thing for Archer as he is coming off of a season high 122 pitches in just 6.2 innings. That pitch total not coming in a complete game has me a bit worried and has me wondering if Archer will be as sharp as he normally is.
Drew Hutchison, Toronto Blue Jays (FD $8300, DK $7200) – There is not much for “value” plays at the pitcher spot tonight so I thought I would get a couple of guys that I think should be a little more expensive when you factor in their opponents. Hutchison is a headache from a fantasy perspective as he has the stuff to strike out double digits and completely shut down an offense, however he also is capable of getting lit up and exiting after just a couple innings. Hutchison threw a complete game shutout with 8 strike outs the last time he faced this White Sox team.
Trevor Bauer, Cleveland Indians (FD $8400, DK $7900) – Bauer has a pretty tough match-up on paper, however the Astros strike out a ton and are not extremely patient. That fits in perfectly for Bauer as he has the second most walks in the majors, but he offers double digit strike out potential. That tells me that as long as he isn’t missing terribly, he may pick up some extra swings and misses and eliminate some of his walk issues in this start. Bauer is a -133 favorite in this game tonight.
Michael Wacha, St Louis Cardinals (FD $8600, DK $9400) – Wacha held these Cubs to 1 earned over 6 innings in his last start of June, while managing to strike out 5 and picking up the win. The Cubs offense is extremely dangerous and I definitely do not recommend Wacha in cash games. The Cubs are a -116 favorite and the game has an over/under of just 7 runs.
Gio Gonzalez, Washington Nationals (FD $9400, DK $8700) – I love targeting the starting pitcher of a team that had been rocked the day before and I get to do that with Gio against the Reds. The Reds got to Scherzer and knocked him out after just 4.2 innings yesterday. Gio and the Nationals are sitting at -167 right now and the game has an over/under of 7.5 runs. Gio has given up just 1 run over his last 2 starts, both wins, and has 10 K’s in those two games.
Toronto Blue Jays: Josh Donaldson (FD $4900, DK $4900), Jose Bautista (FD $5200, DK $5100), Edwin Encarnacion (FD $4400, DK $4800), Danny Valencia (FD $2800, DK $3200) – So the Blue Jays are pretty good and they are even better against left handed pitching. Tonight they get to take on John Danks, who they managed to chase in 5 innings with 6 runs the last time they faced him. The entire lineup is in play tonight as they all have extremely solid BvP histories against him. I would suggest getting creative and doing a few stacks of the Blue Jays tonight.
Los Angeles Angels: Johnny Giavotella (FD $2900, DK $3400), Kole Calhoun (FD $4300, DK $5400), Mike Trout (FD $5600, DK $6600), Albert Pujols (FD $4800, DK $5600) – The Angels came out in game 1 of the series in Coors last night and destroyed the baseball in the first few innings and with a snap of their fingers were up 8-0 after a few home runs. I think that continues tonight as the Angels have scored 10+ runs in 3 straight games. I think they make it 4 straight tonight.
Arizona Diamondbacks: A.J. Pollock (FD $3800, DK $4700), Paul Goldschmidt (FD $5200, DK $5900), Yasmany Tomas (FD $3500, DK $4400) – The D’Backs get to take on a lefty making his season debut after a very lengthy DL stint tonight. I love the D’Backs against a left handed pitcher and they get to do it in hitter friendly Arlington tonight. I think Peralta is a sneaky addition to a stack as a lefty and I would be all over Wellington Castillo should he be in the lineup tonight.
Washington Nationals: Michael Taylor (FD $2500, DK $3300), Danny Espinosa (FD $2600, DK $3900), Bryce Harper (FD $4900, DK $5800) – My under the radar stack is the Nationals tonight as they get to take on Michael Lorenzen who struggles with the long ball. The Nats are an under the radar pick because the lineup they have been running out has been really ugly of late and when I try to put in a stack, I end up changing my mind when I see who I have rostered. Lorenzen will give it up to whoever is in the lineup and I think guys like Ramos, Desmond and Escobar make interesting options.
There appears to be plenty of rain to worry about again today, which continues to really frustrate me. I think the Indians make a solid stack option going up against Dan Straily and I think there are a number of pitchers that make intriguing SP2 options. Among them are Porcello, Hellickson, Hammel, Jimenez and Fiers. I think the Angels are going to be extremely high owned, even with their ridiculous prices, however I do not think the pitching paired with that stack will be anything to be confident in.
(I would like to choose the entire Blue Jays lineup)