We have another split slate of action ahead of us today. We will go over some pitchers and stacks for you to target on both your early and late slate lineups in the MLB DFS Strategy.
Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers (FD $13,000, DK $14,500) – So the rumor is that Kershaw is really really really really good and happens to be facing a team that apparently is really really really not good from the offensive end. Kershaw and the Dodgers are a -200 favorite in this game. He is by far and away the top option however his price tag is a hindrance.
David Price, Detroit Tigers (FD $11,400, DK $12,200) – I really like the match-up for Price as he should be able to control the generally left hand heavy Mariners lineup. Price and the Tigers are a -148 favorite and the game has an over/under of a somewhat surprising 8 runs. I think that number is a little high, however it is possible as I think the Tigers offense gets Price some run support.
Francisco Liriano, Pittsburgh Pirates (FD $10,000, DK $10,300) – Liriano was scratched just 15 minutes prior to his last start, which has me a bit worried here, however I believe he must be good to go if they have him announced as today’s starter. I think that info will keep his ownership down slightly, however the match-up should make him a top option as the Nationals lineup is extremely weak outside of Bryce Harper. Liriano and the Pirates are -175 favorites against Fister and the Nationals.
Lance McCullers, Houston Astros (FD $6700, DK $9300) – McCullers falls into the value section thanks to his price on FD alone. That price is ridiculously low and I think the DK price is about right, maybe a couple hundred too low compared to what the match-up is as he is a -150 favorite against a Boston Red Sox team that appears to have just given up on 2015.
Mike Fiers, Milwaukee Brewers (FD $8200, DK $7700) – Fiers and the Brewers are -125 road favorites in Arizona in this game. The match-up is a little scary as the D’Backs are a dangerous team, however the Brewers have been playing really well and Fiers has been their best pitcher so far in 2015. He has allowed more than 3 runs in just 2 of his last 10 starts and is capable of racking up strikeouts.
Tyson Ross, San Diego Padres (FD $8500, DK $9100) – Ross and the Padres are a -152 home favorite tonight going up against a Marlins offense that is missing a lot of its punch. The game has an over/under of just 6.5 runs which tells me that when you pair it with the sizable favorite number that the Padres are going to do most of the scoring in this one. Ross has the stuff to be a stud pitcher, his control and knack for giving up big innings is what keeps him from growing as a pitcher.
Masahiro Tanaka, New York Yankees (FD $9800, DK $10,100) – In this slot I think you can easily put Tanaka’s opposing pitcher, Ubaldo Jimenez. Tanaka has been a bit more consistent lately as Jimenez is coming off of a rough start in which he allowed 3 home runs. Tanaka and the Yankees are -150 favorites in this one and the game has an over/under of 8 runs which could definitely be exceeded thanks to the power that both teams provide.
Detroit Tigers: Ian Kinsler (FD $3500, DK $3900), Yoenis Cespedes (FD $3400, DK $3800), Victor Martinez (FD $3400, DK $3700), J.D. Martinez (FD $4400, DK $4700) – This entire Tigers lineup is in play as they have been swinging it very well and are putting up runs in bunches. Castellanos would be my first addition to this stack and then I might look at Iglesias or Gose. Iwakuma has really struggled this year, but he has been turning it around lately, however this Tigers lineup is extremely potent, even without Cabrera. I think this may be the highest owned stack of the day.
Houston Astros: Jose Altuve (FD $4500, DK $4400), Carlos Correa (FD $3900, DK $4700), Evan Gattis (FD $3300, DK $3500), Preston Tucker (FD $3000, DK $3200) – I really wish Springer was back as it would make this lineup even more dangerous against left handed pitching. I plugged Tucker in because he looked absolutely locked in last night going the other way with a serious bomb and I think he could find himself in the lineup against a lefty tonight. I would think about Carter, Hoes and Marisnick as possible low owned additions to the stack that gets to face Wade Miley.
Milwaukee Brewers: Gerardo Parra (FD $3600, DK $3800), Jonathan Lucroy (FD $3100, DK $3400), Ryan Braun (FD $4500, DK $5000), Adam Lind (FD $4000, DK $4400) – The Brewers are facing a pitcher making his major league debut that has just been turned into a starting pitcher this season and is not very stretched out. I would be shocked if he goes more than 5 innings. He has solid numbers in the minors so far this season, however he can get a bit wild. I would expect this to be a short outing for the rookie right handed pitcher. I would not fault you for replacing Parra or Lucroy with Carlos Gomez in this stack.
Los Angeles Dodgers: Joc Pederson (FD $2800, DK $3500), Justin Turner (FD $3400, DK $3400), Adrian Gonzalez (FD $3800, DK $4000), Andre Ethier (FD $2400, DK $2800) – I love the Dodgers going up against Bartolo Colon even though it seems like they were ignored by the pricing on both major sites. I think Grandal, Puig, Crawford, Kendrick and the water boy should he be in the lineup make great options tonight. I am leaning with the above 4 with hopes that Ethier is back in the clean-up spot tonight.
There’s been a lot of runs scored across baseball so far this week and I expect that trend to continue today/tonight as there are just a few really solid pitchers and a lot of mediocre guys taking the hill. We have an afternoon slate of 4 games with very little as far as pitching overall and the stack options leave some to be desired however there are teams that are capable of putting up 6-8 runs with a few long balls. The evening slate has 7 games and a bit more to choose from, however it leaves some positions to be desired, such as third base. I think either slate is one to be comfortable leaving money on the table to try and just get the plays you think are in the best spots. I am always tinkering with my lineups to try and make that perfect lineup, but I think today I will set it and just make sure who I have in is starting and let the rest just happen.