The MLB DFS Strategy brings you the best pitchers and stacks to target for tonights MLB DFS action on both FanDuel and DraftKings. With lots of great GPPs around the industry lets waste no time getting into my favorite plays.
Nationals(-118) @ Pirates 6.5
Dodgers(-107) @ Mets 7.5
Braves @ Cardinals(-190) 7.5
Reds @ Rockies(-112) 11
Brewers @ D’Backs(-124) 8
Marlins @ Padres(-133) 6.5
Orioles @ Rays(-148) 7
White Sox @ Indians(-175) 7
Tigers @ Red Sox(-140) 9
Yankees(-143) @ Twins 8
Astros(-105) @ Royals 8
Rangers @ Angels(-150) 8.5
Blue Jays @ Mariners(-148) 7
Athletics @ Giants(-114) 7
Max Scherzer, Washington Nationals (FD $12,000, DK $14,000) – Scherzer gets to take on the team that he no-hit in June while striking out 10 batters. He went 8.2 innings of perfect baseball before “hitting” Tabata. His price is ridiculously high, especially on DK. He and the Nationals are just a -118 road favorite in this one, but the game does offer an over/under of just 6.5 runs tonight. The pitching match-up leaves me thinking that Scherzer should be a larger favorite as Jeff Locke does not scream stud at me. One thing that stood out to me was the fact that the Pirates have a 39% K rate against Scherzer.
Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians (FD $11,000, DK $11,500) – When I initially looked at all of the pitching options, Kluber jumped off the page at me and I think he is my favorite high priced option of the slate. The White Sox have been swinging it a little better of late, however they still struggle overall and the lineup is less than desirable as far as an offense goes. If he can work his way around Melky and Abreu (combined 16-40 against Kluber) he should be in a great spot as the rest of the White Sox roster is just 23-127 (.181). Kluber has thrown 15 innings against the White Sox so far in 2015 and has managed 18 strikeouts but has given up 7 runs. Kluber and the Indians are -175 favorites and the game has an over/under of just 7 runs.
Chris Archer, Tampa Bay Rays (FD $10,600, DK $11,400) – Archer gets to take on a struggling Orioles offense tonight and that might be what is best for him as he has struggled against the Orioles so far in 2015. He has given up 4 runs in each of his 2 starts against the Orioles this year as he has allowed 12 hits and has K’d 10 in those starts. Archer and the Rays are a -148 favorite and the game has an over/under of just 7 runs, which are numbers that intrigue me a little and help offset the previous history this season.
Tim Cooney, St Louis Cardinals (FD $6200, DK $6500) – The match-up for Cooney is very intriguing as the Braves generally struggle overall and Cooney is coming off of throwing 5.2 shutout innings along with 7 K’s. Cooney has made 4 starts in July and has tossed 22 innings, has allowed just 6 earned runs (7 total), has allowed just 16 hits and has struck out 21 batters. Cooney and the Cardinals are -190 home favorites in this one and the game has an over/under of just 7.5 runs, which is shocking considering the rookie pitching match-up of Banuelos and Cooney. Teams have generally tried to stack right handed hitters against him, however those right handed hitters have hit just .234. A nice stat to add in is the fact that base stealers are 0 for 3 so far against him.
Andrew Cashner, San Diego Padres (FD $7300, DK $7200) – Cashner takes on the weak Marlins team and he gets to do so at home where he has struck out 52 batters over 42.2 innings so far in 2015. I think Cashner has the ability to pitch carefully to the likes of Bour and Yelich which should then allow him to dominate the right handed hitters of the Marlins as righties are hitting just .250 against him and have just 3 HR’s in 232 AB’s. Cashner and the Padres are a -133 favorite tonight and this game has a shockingly low over/under sitting at 6.5 runs.
Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners (FD $11,300, DK $10,700) – Hernandez has a tough match-up as he faces the Toronto Blue Jays tonight in a game with an over/under of 7 with a line of the Mariners being a -148 home favorite. Hernandez has faced the Blue Jays once so far in 2015 and managed to fire 7 innings of 1 run baseball while striking out 8 and allowing just 4 hits. In July, Hernandez has allowed just 3 runs over 20 innings while striking out 17. I think he makes a great GPP option as most will look to go with the safer match-up of Kluber at a similar price point.
Jose Quintana, Chicago White Sox (FD $8200, DK $8100) – Quintana has thrown 13 innings against the Indians so far in 2015 and has managed to allow just 2 earned runs (3 total) while striking out 10 batters and allowing just 11 hits. He has allowed left handed hitters to hit a measly .198 with an OPS of .597. As I stated under Kluber, this game has an over/under of just 7 runs tonight. Quintana has allowed an average of .297 away from home, however his strike out numbers jump up on the road as he has struck out 59 in 60.2 road innings this season as compared to 46 in 59.1 home innings in 2015.
Cincinnati Reds: Joey Votto (FD $4500, DK $5700), Todd Frazier (FD $4900, DK $5800), Jay Bruce (FD $4100, DK $5100), Marlon Byrd (FD $3100, DK $4300) – When you have an over/under of 11 runs and a pitching match-up of DeSclafani-Butler, you have to talk about both offenses as stud stacks and that is what we have here with the Reds traveling to Coors to face the Rockies. With the Reds, I like the potency of the above stack and could certainly see including Phillips as well as whoever might be at short stop, along with Billy Hamilton as he is always capable of putting up points in a hurry, especially if the Rockies start McKenry behind the plate.
Colorado Rockies: Charlie Blackmon (FD $4800, DK $5300), Troy Tulowitzki (FD $4500, DK $4400), Carlos Gonzalez (FD $4700, DK $4400), Nolan Arenado (FD $4800, DK $4900) – The other team in the above match-up has the Rockies bats getting to smack around DeSclafani tonight. Right handed hitters have the slightly higher average against DeSclafani this season, however left handed hitters have 10 more extra base hits than right handed hitters do in just 21 additional at bat’s. Left handed hitters have hit 7 of the 9 home runs he has allowed. I think nearly everybody is in play for the Rockies as LeMahieu and Paulsen are the two that pop into my head immediately.
Detroit Tigers: Ian Kinsler (FD $3700, DK $4400), Yoenis Cespedes (FD $3400, DK $4400), Victor Martinez (FD $3700, DK $3800), J.D. Martinez (FD $4300, DK $4800) – The Tigers get to take on their former teammate, Rick Porcello, tonight. This game has an over/under of 9 runs which is the highest outside of the game in Coors tonight. Even though the Red Sox are small favorites, I personally believe the Tigers offense is in the best spot tonight as they have been swinging it pretty well and they are just more potent than the Red Sox are right now. Castellanos, Iglesias and whoever is catching make interesting options as does Anthony Gose or Rajai Davis, depending on who is in center. Porcello has given up 12 runs in 13 innings so far in July and has allowed 18 home runs so far this season to go along with 13 stolen bases.
New York Yankees: Jacoby Ellsbury (FD $3800, DK $4200), Brett Gardner (FD $4000, DK $4700), Alex Rodriguez (FD $3600, DK $4300), Mark Teixeira (FD $3900, DK $4600) – Hughes has been hit harder by right handed hitters so far in 2015, however lefties aren’t exactly struggling against him. He has allowed 23 home runs (12 vs L and 11 vs R) and his strikeout numbers are down so far in 2015, especially when pitching at home. I think the entire Yankees lineup is in play as the bottom generally has some pretty cheap options and those guys showed over the last few days that they are capable of putting up solid fantasy stat lines. If there is one guy that I will add to the stack it will probably be Beltran as I just have a feeling he is going to have a game tonight against my Twins.
My initial thought was, “Holy hell, look at the intriguing pitching options!”. I did not get to mention pitchers such as Manny Banuelos (limited pitch count/innings scares me a little bit), Pineda, Chavez, Peavy, Haren, Tropeano and Tillman. As far as additional bats, I think you could make a point for stacking the Brewers against a left handed pitcher, The Astros against Guthrie, the Dodgers against Niese, Angels against Lewis and the D’Backs against Jimmy Nelson. There are a ton of big time tournaments across the industry tonight as DK has their midsummer classic GPPs, FantasyAces has a nice $109 Q to their Fantasy Championship at Angel stadium, FD has their big qualifiers as well as their big $25 Grand Slam and Fantasy Feud has qualifiers for their big Championship. The weather appears to be beautiful across the playing nation, so make sure you do your full research and trust your instincts.