We have a smallish 9 game slate to start out the week tonight, but there is plenty of money to be won across the industry! Weather is spotty in a few spots so make sure you have the latest weather forecast before locking in your lineups. I anticipate a heavy dose of Sox and Yankee Ranger stacks tonight.
Rockies @ Cubs(-155) 7
Reds @ Cardinals(-170) 7
Brewers @ Giants(-174) 7
Tigers @ Rays(-117) 7
White Sox @ Red Sox(-170) 9
Royals @ Indians(-109) 7.5
Yankees(-112) @ Rangers 9.5
Braves @ Orioles(-162) 7.5
Diamondbacks @ Mariners(-115) 7
Lance Lynn, St Louis Cardinals (FD $9500, DK $11,100) – Lynn and the Cardinals are a -170 home favorite tonight and the game has an over/under of just 7 runs. Lynn is the second largest favorite on the board tonight and for great reason as he has been excellent over his last 10 starts, allowing more than 2 earned runs just once in those 10 starts. Surprisingly he has yet to face the Reds on the season, however he has faced them 11 times over the previous three seasons and has managed striking out 70 batters over 66 innings during those 11 starts.
Anibal Sanchez, Detroit Tigers (FD $8700, DK $10,200) – Sanchez has won 7 straight decisions (span of 8 starts) and will look to make that 8 tonight as he travels to Tampa to take on the Rays. Surprisingly, the Rays are a -117 favorite in this game and the over/under is sitting at 7 runs. He has struggled with the long ball so far this season as he has allowed 21 of them, however Tropicana does not yield a ton of home runs. He has pitched better away from home so far in 2015 as he has basically struck out one batter per inning away from Detroit.
Robbie Ray, Arizona Diamondbacks (FD $6900, DK $8000) – Ray has thrown some impressive games since being recalled by the D’Backs and his stuff works out very well in a match-up against the mostly left handed hitting Seattle Mariners, at SafeCo. In Ray’s 5 road starts in 2015, he has allowed an average of just .177 and an ERA of 1.35. His K numbers take a hit while being on the road as he has just 21 in 33.1 innings in comparison to 29 in 26.1 innings at home. The Mariners are a small -115 favorite in this game and the game has an over/under of only 7 runs. I think he makes a great SP2 option to pair with Lynn on DK and a solid choice on FD as I really like the D’Backs bats.
Kevin Gausman, Baltimore Orioles (FD $6000, DK $4300) – This is one that might surprise a lot of you as Gausman has really struggled in a starting role so far in 2015. Gausman is a huge prospect in terms of MLB and there are a lot of teams that are trying to acquire him in any deal that the Orioles try to make. With that said, he showed us some of his upside just a couple starts ago as he threw 6.1 innings of shutout baseball while striking out 7. Much like tonight is, that was a home start for Gausman and tonight he faces a Braves lineup that generally is not very dangerous. He has an ERA of just 1.93 when pitching at home so far this season. He has struggled with left handed hitters, however he has been absolutely nasty against right handed hitters. He is a -162 favorite tonight and the game has an over/under of 7.5 runs.
Chris Heston, San Francisco Giants (FD $7600, DK $9500) – I could have listed Heston as a stud tonight and in some cases, that is probably where he should be. I think he is a GPP play as his DK price is pretty high and for some reason the Brewers just scare me a little bit as they have been a pretty potent team of late. Heston has given up just 1 earned run over his last 3 starts and is coming off of his second best start of the season (duh, he threw a no-hitter) in his last start has he allowed just 1 hit in 7.1 innings against the Padres. He has thrown better at home so far this season as evidenced by his 2.57 home ERA and the fact that he has allowed just 1 home run in 63 home innings. He is the largest favorite on the board tonight at -174 and the game’s over/under is just 7 runs.
Nathan Karns, Tampa Bay Rays (FD $7600, DK $8700) – I think Karns makes a great GPP option tonight as he faces the dangerous Tigers offense, who is capable of going quiet. His opposing pitcher is Sanchez and even though Sanchez has won 7 straight decisions, he has not done it very sharply and has allowed 21 runs over his last 6 starts. Karns and the Rays are a small -117 favorite tonight. Karns is coming off of a 5 inning, 0 run Win in which he managed to hit a home run and provide the only offense for the Rays. He has held right handed hitters to an average of .217 this season and that is going to come in very handy against the Tigers tonight.
Arizona Diamondbacks: A.J. Pollock (FD $4000, DK $5400), Paul Goldschmidt (FD $4700, DK $6000), Yasmany Tomas (FD $2900, DK $3700), Aaron Hill (FD $2300, DK $2700) – I love the D’Backs against a lefty and even though Montgomery has been really solid since making his MLB debut, I think the D’Backs are too dangerous for him as he has really struggled over his last 3 starts and has given up 4 home runs in those 3 starts. Castillo makes an interesting addition to the stack should he be in the lineup as does Peralta or Inciarte in a left on left match-up.
Boston Red Sox: Mookie Betts (FD $3400, DK $4400), Xander Bogaerts (FD $2700, DK $3600), David Ortiz (FD $3500, DK $4200), Hanley Ramirez (FD $3400, DK $4200) – The Red Sox get to take on the can of gas that is John Danks (Danks has been pitching extremely well lately which makes me cringe just to say). The BoSox have moved Victorino into the 2 spot, which makes him an interesting option to add to a stack as does Napoli and Sandoval. Oritz may be an under owned part of a stack as some will see the left on left match-up and immediately shy away.
Chicago White Sox: Adam Eaton (FD $3500, DK $4100), Tyler Saladino (FD $3000, DK $2500), Jose Abreu (FD $3200, DK $4800), Melky Cabrera (FD $3500, DK $3900) – I normally have nearly nothing to do with the White Sox, however they are on a roll right now and are really putting up fantasy points in bunches and I expect that to continue tonight against, Gas Can Light, Joe Kelly. I do think the whole lineup make for interesting additions as it appears LaRoche is out of the lineup tonight.
San Francisco Giants: Buster Posey (FD $2300, DK $2000), Hunter Pence (FD $2900, DK $3900), Brandon Belt (FD $2800, DK $4000) – Lohse has been terrible so far in 2015 and I think the Giants make an interesting mini-stack as you can see I listed their top 3 power threats above. Lohse faced the Giants earlier this season and gave up 5 runs in just over 5 innings in that start. I would certainly include Pagan, Panik and Duffy against Lohse if you wanted to full stack the Giants on DK.
To be honest, the slate tonight is pretty lackluster and blah in my eyes. There just does not seem to be a lot of positive situations for hitters and that part scares me as the pitching options aren’t exactly must use. I think the Yankees are a team that is interesting against Harrison and the Rangers could be a sneaky stack against Nova since that game has an over/under of 9.5 runs. I would really focus on finding your core plays tonight and make spins off of those if you plan to multi-enter some of the big GPPs across the industry. Good Luck!