We have a full slate of MLB action for this Friday night with lots of guaranteed prize pools at our favorite sites. We will go over my favorite pitchers and stacks in the MLB DFS Strategy.
Braves @ Phillies(-105) 8
Nationals @ Mets(-119) 6.5
Pirates(-130) @ Reds 9
Padres @ Marlins(-119) 7.5
Cubs(-120) @ Brewers 7.5
Rockies @ Cardinals(-215) 7.5
Tigers @ Orioles(-170) 9
Royals(-113) @ Blue Jays 7.5
Rays @ Red Sox(-115) 9
Yankees(-112) @ White Sox 8.5
Mariners @ Twins(-113) 8.5
Indians(-132) @ Athletics 7
Giants(-176) @ Rangers 9
Diamondbacks @ Astros(-146) 8.5
Angels @ Dodgers(-190) 6
Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers (FD $13,300, DK $14,500) – Kershaw had his start pushed back to today due to a glute issue and that has me a little worried about taking on the Angels AL offense tonight. The Angels have a few guys that have hit him well in their careers. With that said, Kershaw is having a ridiculous July so far as his ERA is sitting at 0.27. He has given up just 1 run in 33 innings while striking out 45. Kershaw and the Dodgers are a -190 home favorite in this game.
Matt Harvey, New York Mets (FD $9900, DK $11,200) – Harvey takes on a Nationals team that he has thrown 47 innings against in his career and has managed to give up just 9 runs on just 31 hits while striking out 50. More impressive than those numbers is the fact that Bryce Harper is 0-14 against Harvey with 7 punch outs. The Mets are a -119 favorite and this game has an over/under of just 6.5 runs. I would have never predicted a salary gap this large between Kershaw and Harvey.
Danny Salazar, Cleveland Indians (FD $8800, DK $10,900) – I am a huge Salazar supporter for tonight as he gets to face an A’s lineup that he 8.2 innings against earlier this season and managed to strike out 8 while allowing an unearned run. Salazar and the Indians are a -132 favorite and the game has an over/under of just 7 runs tonight. If you take Butler out of the lineup, the A’s are a combined 6 for 40 against Salazar in their careers with 14 K’s.
Williams Perez, Atlanta Braves (FD $5800, DK $4000) – Perez makes his return from a DL stint tonight and while the Braves in general are not very sexy, Perez intrigues me going up against the weak Phillies while also showing respectable numbers so far on the 2015 season. He has pitched really well on the road as he has a 2.33 road ERA so far this year. The Phillies are a slight -105 home favorite in this one which means they expect it to stay pretty close and the over/under is sitting at 8 runs. I absolutely LOVE his price on DK tonight.
Nathan Eovaldi, New York Yankees (FD $7300, DK $6200) – Eovaldi has allowed 2 runs over less in 6 of his last 7 starts (3 runs allowed in the other start) and seems to be trusting his stuff more and his ground ball rate has skyrocketed. I love his price tonight going up against a White Sox team that had been on a roll leading up to last night when they were shut down by Steven Wright, even after Wright gave up a 2 run bomb to Abreu in the first.
Johnny Cueto, Kansas City Royals (FD $10,300, DK $10,000) – Cueto finds himself in the GPP plays section as he is making his first start for the Royals tonight and happens to be going up against the Toronto Blue Jays. The Blue Jays lineup is extremely lethal and Cueto is definitely going to have to work tonight. Cueto and the Royals are a -113 road favorite and the game has an over/under of just 7.5 runs. I like the spot the Royals offense is in going up against Hutchison so I expect there to be a little run support for Cueto tonight.
Carlos Rodon, Chicago White Sox (FD $6500, DK $6500) – Rodon is tough to trust but he has nasty stuff and is capable of racking up strike outs, but is also capable of racking up the walks. The Yankees are a dangerous lineup, however they struggle more against left handed pitching as they really only have A-Rod and Chris Young to take on left handed pitching as the rest of their lineup is either left handed or switch hitters who swing it better from the left side. I think the Eovaldi-Rodon pitching match-up is very underrated and may turn into one of the best of the night.
Baltimore Orioles: Manny Machado (FD $3700, DK $4400), Adam Jones (FD $2900, DK $4700), Chris Davis (FD $4000, DK $4400), Matt Wieters (FD $2800, DK $3300) – Buck Farmer has been terrible so far in the majors this season for the Tigers and could be in for a very short night as he has allowed left handed hitters to hit .438 with an OPS of 1.158 against him and right handed hitters have managed a .296 average and a .996 OPS. He has a road ERA of 9.22 and a .373 average allowed. I would feel confident in stacking the entire lineup tonight and think the 4 above make the most sense. Pay attention to who is in the two spot tonight as I wish Parra would make it in time to be part of the lineup but I do not see that happening.
St Louis Cardinals: Matt Carpenter (FD $2700, DK $4100), Kolton Wong (FD $3100, DK $4100), Jason Heyward (FD $3400, DK $4200), Brandon Moss (FD $2500, DK $3600) – I love the lefties from the Cardinals tonight as they get to face Kyle Kendrick and his 25 home runs allowed so far in 2015. I am not sure if Moss will be in the lineup or not as I have not heard if he has made his way to St Louis yet but if he is, I certainly like him to make a splash in his first game.
San Francisco Giants: Matt Duffy (FD $3300, DK $4200), Buster Posey (FD $4400, DK $5400), Hunter Pence (FD $3400, DK $5300), Brandon Belt (FD $3000, DK $4200) – Nicholas Martinez has been smacked hard in the face by the regression monster and I expect that to continue tonight against the Giants. He has been a reverse splits pitcher so far this season and has been destroyed by right handed hitters. I would not fault you for including any of the guys in this lineup, even left handed hitters.
Minnesota Twins: Brian Dozier (FD $3600, DK $4900), Aaron Hicks (FD $3100, DK $4000), Joe Mauer (FD $2400, DK $3300), Miguel Sano (FD $2800, DK $4300) – The Twins got to Happ early last night and I expect their momentum to continue today as they take on Taijuan Walker. Walker has been struggling for awhile now and is actually a reverse splits pitcher, which plays well into the Twins hands as they are more potent from the right side than the left side. I like Hunter and Rosario as well for the Twins tonight.
It was an active day today as the MLB trade deadline hit at 4 ET and now we have an idea of the players that are on the move. There are a number of pitching options tonight that could be used in a GPP as lineups are somewhat watered down in some games due to players being dealt. I think the Tigers go very under owned after dealing Cespedes as they face Chen tonight (has allowed 19 HRs this year). I think the Astros are in a great spot and it looks like Gomez is in the two spot in that lineup. The Mariners have a few guys that intrigue me going up against Tommy Milone tonight and I think they can be interesting additions to a stack.