We have a full slate of MLB action tonight with a handful of games looking like they will have some high over unders. Not seeing a lot of weather concerns but we have a couple with some rain potential so make sure you know the latest forecasts before locking in your lineups.
Rockies @ Mets(-245) 7
Brewers @ Cubs(-150)
Pirates @ Cardinals(-160) 7.5
Phillies @ Diamondbacks(-170) 9
Nationals @ Dodgers(-180) 6.5
Reds @ Padres(-120) 7.5
Athletics @ Blue Jays(-200) 9
Yankees @ Indians(-120) 7
Angels(-130) @ White Sox 8.5
Tigers @ Royals(-150) 8
Rangers @ Twins(-112) 8.5
Orioles @ Mariners(-108) 7.5
Red Sox(-115) @ Marlins 7.5
Braves @ Rays(-180) 7
Astros @ Giants(-145) 6
Zack Greinke, Los Angeles Dodgers (FD $12,400, DK $12,000) – Greinke and the Dodgers are a -180 favorite in this game as Greinke tries to right the ship after giving up 6 runs to the Phillies in his last start. He has made one start against the Nationals so far in 2015 and managed to fire 8 innings of 3 hit and 0 run baseball while striking out 11 batters. The Nationals roster has 126 at-bats in their careers against Greinke and they have only managed 26 hits, with 10 of those belonging to an injured Denard Span.
Matt Harvey, New York Mets (FD $11,200, DK $10,900) – Harvey and the Mets are a big -245 home favorite and this game has an over/under of 7 runs tonight. Harvey was spectacular in his last start as he allowed just 2 hits in 7 innings and he struck out 6. The Rockies do not have much of a history against Harvey as they have 42 combined at bats and that has lead to all of just 7 hits. I think Harvey is my top option of the night as he should be in a great spot to dominate the weak Rockies lineup, as long as he can navigate around a red hot Carlos Gonzalez.
Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants (FD $11,900, DK $11,100) – Bumgarner is a -145 home favorite in a game with an over/under of just 6 runs as the Astros travel to an NL park to take on the Giants. Bumgarner has been a lot better when pitching at home this season as he owns an ERA of 2.43 and an average against of .227 while striking out 81 in 74 innings as compared to 67 in 71.1 innings on the road. The Astros have not been lighting the scoreboard much of late and they have the highest strike out rate in all of baseball. The one tough thing about the match-up in my eyes is the fact that the Astros are running out Scott Kazmir who has been awesome since they acquired him.
Colin Rea, San Diego Padres (FD $3000, DK $4500) – Rea’s price is just so ridiculously low, especially on FD as he and the Padres are a -120 favorite in a game with an over/under of 7.5 runs. Rea’s small Triple-A sample size is unappealing as he pitched in a very hitter friendly environment. He was extremely dominant at the Double-A level prior to getting the promotion to Triple-A. He had an ERA of 1.08, a WHIP of 0.81 and an average against of just .185 at Double-A.
Luis Severino, New York Yankees (FD $7000, DK $5500) – Severino looked spectacular in his major league debut last week and tonight he is a small underdog in game with an over/under of just 7 runs. He allowed just 2 hits and 1 earned run last week against the Red Sox as he struck out 7 in just 5 innings. His DK price is just way too low in my eyes for the upside he provides tonight as he makes a great option to pair with one of the studs of the night in order to fit in some bats from the top games.
Taylor Jungmann, Milwaukee Brewers (FD $8400, DK $8700) – Jungmann has been spectacular since making his debut in June and has an ERA of 2.26 so far through 11 starts. Tonight he takes on a very dangerous but very strikeout prone Chicago Cubs team that he faced earlier this season. In that game earlier this season he went 5.2 innings and managed to strike out 7 and give up just 2 earned runs on 7 hits. The over/under for the game has not been listed yet so you will want to make sure the wind isn’t blowing straight out at a high rate. The Cubs are a -150 favorite so that makes Jungmann an interesting GPP option as he has the stuff to rack up points in a hurry.
Carlos Carrasco, Cleveland Indians (FD $9800, DK $10,100) – Carrasco will be opposite Luis Severino tonight and is actually the favorite at home as the Indians are a -120 favorite. The Yankees have been cold of late and that plays well into Carrasco’s hand, even if he has struggled terribly at home in 2015. He has allowed an average of .304 when pitching at home, to go along with an ERA of 5.37. The Yankees only have 50 at-bats against Carrasco in their careers and have managed just 12 hits.
Arizona Diamondbacks: Ender Inciarte (FD $2700, DK $3900), A.J. Pollock (FD $3800, DK $4700), Paul Goldschmidt (FD $4600, DK $5500), David Peralta (FD $3700, DK $4200) – David Buchanan is a well below average major league pitcher and he takes on a dangerous team in a hitter friendly atmosphere. I expect the D’Backs to continue from their Monday night contest and mash against the weak right handed starter. I would be ok with stacking any of the top 6 or 7 in this lineup. Make sure you pay attention to the lineup as they tend to move guys around often and give an OF a day of rest, but I am hoping that OF will be Tomas.
Toronto Blue Jays: Troy Tulowitzki (FD $4300, DK $4300), Josh Donaldson (FD $5600, DK $5600), Jose Bautista (FD $5100, DK $5200), Edwin Encarnacion (FD $4800, DK $4800) – Oh look, its the Toronto Blue Jays being listed as a stud stack, what a shocker! Well, they do get to face a softer throwing starter tonight as Kendall Graveman is not going to blow anything by anybody and they get to face him at home at the Rogers Centre. This game has a 9 run over/under which is tied with the D’Back game. The Blue Jays are big favorites in this one. The entire Blue Jays lineup is in play here.
New York Mets: Yoenis Cespedes (FD $3700, DK $4600), Juan Uribe (FD $3100, DK $3100), Lucas Duda (FD $4000, DK $4500), Travis d’Arnaud (FD $2800, DK $4200) – I think the Mets are in a great spot against Rusin tonight and they should be somewhat under owned. I think you can even include Granderson, Murphy and Flores should they all be in the lineup. If Cuddyer finds himself in the lineup, I think he makes a very intriguing option returning from the DL. The Mets are big favorites and this game has an over/under of 7 runs, but that is thanks to Harvey being on the mound.
Philadelphia Phillies: Cesar Hernandez (FD $3300, DK $3400), Odubel Herrera (FD $3200, DK $3600), Maikel Franco (FD $3500, DK $4500) – Hellickson has been terrible against left handed hitters so that puts Franco in a great spot offensively as long as Hernandez and Herrera continue to get on base. You certainly could look to include the other lefties in the lineup as Utley, Howard, Brown and Asche all make interesting additions to a very low owned stack. I debated both the Twins and the Angels for this spot as both teams are in an excellent spot, however I like the sneakiness of the Phillies.
I am slowly starting to find myself going away from full 6 man stacks on DK as it needs so much to go perfectly for that team to pay off. Now do not get me wrong, when a 6 man stack goes nuts and things go perfectly, that stack is going to blow away the competition. I have been experimenting with some different stack options and I am curious to see what you guys have been trying to do with your stacks. Hit me up on twitter with some of your stacking ideas as I am all ears when it comes to discussing strategy. Taking tonight’s slate for example, if I could work out the positions perfectly, I would love to take 3 or 4 from the Blue Jays, 2 or 3 from the D’Backs and 2 or 3 from the Mets or Phillies in order to fit together a solid 8 man lineup. It obviously doesn’t always work out perfectly when attempting something like that but it’s always worth it to try some different things to make sure you stay up on the trends in DFS or to even be ahead of the curve and maybe find your roster building niche!