We have a stars or scrubs pitching night for MLB DFS. Some solid top end pitching studs are on the mound but there are also some really bad pitchers taking the hill offering us some great games to target. Lets get into my favorite pitchers and stacks in the MLB DFS Strategy.
Pirates @ Mets(-120) 7.5
Diamondbacks(-120) @ Braves 7.5
Phillies @ Brewers(-160) 8.5
Marlins @ Cardinals(-210) 7
Padres @ Rockies(-106) 10
Reds @ Dodgers(-170) 7
Nationals(-150) @ Giants 6.5
Athletics @ Orioles
Yankees @ Blue Jays(-230) 8.5
Mariners @ Red Sox9-125) 9.5
Rays @ Rangers(-130) 9
Indians(-160) @ Twins 7
Angels @ Royals(-135) 8
Tigers @ Astros(-230) 8
Cubs(-110) @ White Sox 8
Max Scherzer, Washington Nationals (FD $11,400, DK $14,600) – Scherzer has struggled quite a bit in August but I only expect that to be temporary and he gets to face a Giants lineup that is not as dangerous as most people think. The game has a 6.5 run over/under and Scherzer is a -150 favorite. Scherzer has been extremely filthy on the road so far in 2015 as he has an average against of .186 to go with an ERA of 1.87 and 108 strikeouts in just 86.2 innings.
Dallas Keuchel, Houston Astros (FD $10,700, DK $11,900) – Keuchel and the Astros are a -230 home favorite against a weak Detroit Tiger lineup and this game has a higher over/under as it sits at 8 runs. Of those 8 runs, I would expect the Astros to be projected to put up about 6 of them in this contest as they should be in a great spot offensively. I think Keuchel makes the best option on FD and probably the second best on DK because of his price compared to Kluber’s.
Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians (FD $12,000, DK $10,600) – Kluber and the Indians travel to Minnesota and are a -160 road favorite in this game and the over/under sits at 7 right now. Kluber has thrown 17 innings against the Twins so far in 2015 and has struck out 18 batters while allowing an average of just .109. In those 17 innings he has allowed just 6 hits and 3 runs. Kluber should be the top option pretty much everywhere, FD being the one that scares me with his price.
Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves (FD $8100, DK $7000) – Teheran and the Braves are actually a slight underdog at home as the D’Backs are a -120 favorite in this game. The game has an over/under of 7.5 which intrigues me as the D’Backs are a strong offense. I have Teheran in the values section because of how well he has thrown at home in 2015. He has an ERA of 2.52 and an average against of .206 when pitching in Atlanta this season and has allowed just 3 home runs compared to 15 being hit against him on the road.
David Price, Toronto Blue Jays (FD $11,700, DK $12,300) – Price has made two starts against the Yankees so far in 2015 with one being an absolute dud and the other being an absolute gem. Tonight we have the rubber match as Price and the Blue Jays are a -230 favorite at home in this one. The Blue Jays offense is one of my favorite stacks tonight as they should do damage against Ivan Nova. Price’s price is just to up there for this match-up and for that he makes my GPP list as the Yankees have killed left handed pitching all season.
Jaime Garcia, St Louis Cardinals (FD $8200, DK $9800) – Garcia and the Cardinals are a -210 home favorite against the Marlins tonight and the game has a low over/under as it sits at 7 runs. Garcia has been in my stud and value category this season but he finds himself in the GPP plays section based purely on his DK price. I think that $9800 is just too high for a pitcher that generally does not strike out a lot of batters. Garcia is an excellent pitcher as he is holding batters to a .189 average against him in 2015. He lacks the K upside that should come with that price tag and is only $800 less than Kluber is.
San Diego Padres: Derek Norris (FD $3600, DK $4200), Matt Kemp (FD $4300, DK $5000), Justin Upton (FD $4800, DK $5700), Jed Gyorko (FD $3100, DK $4000) – Padres get to take their hacks in Coors against the Rockies and against a left handed starter. The top half of the lineup should be in play as well as somebody like Solarte or even Melvin Upton Jr.. The Padres have certainly fallen flat this season, however they still have a potent middle of the order and I expect to see a lot of runs in this series as both staffs give up plenty of home runs.
Toronto Blue Jays: Troy Tulowitzki (FD $4100, DK $4500), Josh Donaldson (FD $5500, DK $6000), Jose Bautista (FD $5200, DK $5400), Edwin Encarnacion (FD $4800, DK $4200) – The big bats of the Blue Jays have hit Nova pretty well in their careers and this team is on a roll. Vegas expects plenty of runs in this game and I expect most of those to be scored by the Blue Jays. Pay attention to the lineup they run out as Encarnacion has been out and Smoak, Colabello and Goins have been swinging it very well.
New York Mets: Yoenis Cespedes (FD $3600, DK $4300), Juan Uribe (FD $3000, DK $2900), Michael Cuddyer (FD $2500, DK $3200), Travis d’Arnaud (FD $3000, DK $4100) – The Mets take on a left handed starter that is capable of blowing up with the best of them as they get to face J.A. Happ. While I really wish Wright was back (he is 7 for 16 with 3 bombs against Happ), I think the Mets are playing great ball right now and should be able to put up a good amount of runs. I think I would be willing to play anybody in the top 7, even if they are left handed.
Tampa Bay Rays: Evan Longoria (FD $3100, DK $4100), Logan Forsythe (FD $3300, DK $3800), Richie Shaffer (FD $2900, DK $2500) – Desmond Jennings may be making his return from a lengthy DL stint and he would slot in as a possible addition to the stack as the Rays take on a left handed starter and that is the time we always want to pounce on some of the Rays. The Rays lineup probably will lack a lot of interesting options but a case can be made for Casali, Cabrera and maybe even Guyer.
There are a lot of offenses that are in positive situations tonight and I think you can get away with making some pretty sneaky stacks out of teams not mentioned above. Obviously we do not want to try and stack against our stud options but aside from them, there are some weak starting pitchers taking the hill or pitchers who have been match-ups. I think Seattle, Pittsburgh, Milwaukee and even Philadelphia could win you guys some money tonight and I am going to find a way to mix in some of those guys to go along with some of my stacks. There will be plenty of money to be won and Friday nights are an awesome night to sweat out some big wins while having a handful of beverages. Best of luck to the guys out in Vegas and I can’t tell you how jealous I am.