We are going to take a look at the 13 games that make up the evening slate and leave out the 2 odd early games for this Saturday. If you want to play the early, go right ahead and enjoy yourself some King Felix and some Yankees-Blue Jays bats!
Pirates @ Mets(-115) 7.5
Diamondbacks(-145) @ Braves 7.5
Phillies @ Brewers(-175) 8.5
Marlins @ Cardinals
Padres(-115) @ Rockies 11
Reds @ Dodgers(-185) 7.5
Nationals @ Giants(-105) 6.5
Yankees @ Blue Jays(-128) 8
Mariners(-140) @ Red Sox 8.5
Athletics @ Orioles(-150) 8.5
Tigers @ Astros(-150) 8
Angels @ Royals(-180) 7.5
Indians @ Twins(-106) 9
Rays(-140) @ Rangers 8.5
Cubs(-135) @ White Sox 7.5
Jake Arrieta, Chicago Cubs (FD $10,500, DK $11,600) – Arrieta and the Cubs are a -135 favorite as they travel across town and take on the White Sox. Arrieta has made 1 start against the White Sox in 2015 and threw a complete game and struck out 9 while allowing just 2 hits and 1 run. Since the start of July, Arrieta is 6-1 in 8 starts with 55 strike outs in 57.1 innings while allowing just 9 runs and 34 hits. Arrieta has actually done his best pitching on the road this season and is in a great spot in this game.
Chris Archer, Tampa Bay Rays (FD $11,400, DK $11,200) – Archer and the Rays are a -140 road favorite as they travel to Texas to take on the Rangers. Archer has made one brutal start against the Rangers so far in 2015 as he managed to only go 3.1 innings while allowing 5 runs on 4 hits and 4 walks. The one positive from that outing was that he managed to strike out 8. The over/under of this game is 8.5 and I think that will keep Archer under owned, which makes him an excellent tournament option.
Johnny Cueto, Kansas City Royals (FD $11,000, DK $10,800) – Cueto is a -180 favorite in this game at home and the over/under is sitting at 7.5 runs. Cueto has been dominant when pitching at home in 2015 (both in Cincinnati and Kansas City). His home ERA is 1.59 and his average against when pitching at home is .161 and he has 60 strike outs in 62.1 innings. Cueto is an excellent option as he has allowed an average against of .193 or less in 4 of the 5 months so far in the 2015 season and the Angels have been struggling. Look for Cueto to be the highest owned pitcher of the night.
Chris Bassitt, Oakland Athletics (FD $7000, DK $6400) – Bassitt and the Athletics are decent under dogs as the Orioles are a -150 home favorite in this game, however Bassitt just shut down the Orioles offense in August as he went 7 shutout innings and struck out 7 while allowing just 5 hits. Bassitt has made 7 starts in the majors so far this season and has given up just 11 runs over 43.2 innings. He has 36 strikeouts in those 7 starts.
Justin Verlander, Detroit Tigers (FD $7700, DK $7200) – The Astros are a -150 favorite in this game so Verlander is going to have a hard time picking up the win, however I think he racks up a decent stat line against a strike out prone Astros team. Verlander has pitched a ton better on the road so far in 2015 as he has an ERA of 2.67 and an average against of just .232 as compared to 6.34 and .290 at home.
Jimmy Nelson, Milwaukee Brewers (FD $8000, DK $8500) – Nelson and the Brewers are a -175 home favorite against the Phillies in this game and it has an over/under of 8.5 runs. The reason I went with GPP option for Nelson is the fact that the Phillies can run out a lot of left handed hitters and Nelson has given up an OPS of .833 to left handed hitters so far in 2015. The Phillies also got to Nelson for 4 runs on 6 hits in just 5 innings earlier this season. Nelson has given up 11 home runs in 11 home starts but has allowed an average of just .209 in Miller Park.
Jose Quintana, Chicago White Sox (FD $8200, DK $8000) – As I stated under Arrieta, the Cubs are a road favorite in this game and it has an over/under of just 7.5 runs. Quintana is a sneaky source for strikeouts and quality starts. He has made one start against the Cubs this season and went 7.1 innings, allowing 8 hits and 3 runs while managing to strike out 9 while taking the loss. The Cubs have a lot of strikeout prone members of their usual lineup and Quintana has always dominated left handed hitters. The W will be tough to come by as Arrieta is pitching as well as anybody in the majors, however Quintana makes a great GPP option.
Arizona Diamondbacks: A.J. Pollock (FD $4300, DK $5200), Paul Goldschmidt (FD $4800, DK $5700), David Peralta (FD $4000, DK $3600), Wellington Castillo (FD $3700, DK $3700) – There are a number of guys that could be added to a stack of the D’Backs as Inciarte, Tomas and Lamb all make solid options as Foltynewicz gives up a lot of long balls. The D’Backs got to him for 4 runs in 4 innings earlier this season and should be in a spot to do at least that tonight.
Colorado Rockies: Charlie Blackmon (FD $4500, DK $5000), Carlos Gonzalez (FD $4900, DK $5500), Nolan Arenado (FD $4800, DK $4900), Ben Paulsen (FD $3200, DK $3500) – Cashner has been dominated by left handed hitters this season and the Rockies can really destroy pitching in Coors field. You can certainly include Reyes, Parker and LeMahieu in a Rockies stack as I do not expect to see much from Cashner.
Milwaukee Brewers: Jonathan Lucroy (FD $2200, DK $3300), Ryan Braun (FD $4200, DK $4700), Adam Lind (FD $3500, DK $4400), Khris Davis (FD $3000, DK $3600) – The Brewers get to take on a surprising Jerome Williams tonight. Williams has been pitching pretty well of late, but I expect that to come to an end soon. He has a road ERA of 7.07 on the season and has allowed 18 home runs in 18 starts in 2015. Right handed hitters have an average of .332 against him to go with an OPS of .932. Segura and Gennett are interesting adds to a Brewers stack if you want to find cheap middle infielders.
Cleveland Indians: Francisco Lindor (FD $3100, DK $3800), Michael Brantley (FD $3900, DK $5100), Carlos Santana (FD $3300, DK $4100), Chris Johnson (FD $2600, DK $2400) – You will want to check the Indians lineup as Brantley has missed a few games recently. With that being said, I think the Indians are in a sneaky good spot as they got to face Duffey who was lit up in his major league debut. Yan Gomes is hitting in the 3 spot as I type this (Friday night) and he certainly could be in a prime spot like that again. Almonte, Ramirez and whoever would be in the lineup in Brantley’s place are interesting additions and very cheap.
There are some pretty rough pitchers at the bottom of the salary lists and those guys should give up quite a few runs tonight. The middle tier of salary has some interesting tournament options as there are a few guys that are capable of throwing gems or getting torched. The one guy that I need to mention is John Lackey going up against the Marlins. He has not been all that sharp recently but is capable of big time games and should come away with the victory rather easily. As I sit on Twitter I keep getting to see all of the awesome pictures of the live finals going on and all I can do is get mad at myself for not even giving the qualifiers a try! Best of luck to any of you guys at the live finals (both DK and FA) and hopefully one of these days I can write about my experience at a live final. Have a great and profitable Saturday everybody!