As we look ahead to The Barclays this week, we have just a few questions that demand some attention. Is Jordan Spieth going to be stopped this week? Can Dustin Johnson finally close out a tournament with a strong Sunday? Will I ever stop rostering Daniel Berger? The answer to all of those questions is a profound no but anyways, let’s get to the goods.
This year, the Barclays will be played at Plainfield Country Club in Edison, New Jersey. This is the same location as the 2011 Barclays so keep that in mind when looking at tournament history. Plainfield CC is a par 70 that measures just over 7,000 yards long and once again, we can expect an action packed low-scoring week!
PAR 4 SCORING
As always, SG:T2G, SG:Putting, and Course History will all be sprinkled in to help us figure out which golfers to target from week to week.
ON TO THE MONEY!!!!
Odds To Win: 5 ½ – 1
Predicted Ownership: Chalk
Feel free to fade Spieth if you don’t like money. His ownership will be high as usual but anything under 30% is a huge win in my opinion. Aside from being insanely good at golf, Spieth’s game matches up very nicely with this course (as if it doesn’t match up with every course). He ranks 1st on Tour in Par 4 Scoring average, top 6 in both SG:T2G and SG:Putting, and ranks in the top tier in just about every putting, scrambling, and scoring category. If I have to sell you on Spieth, there is something wrong here.
Odds To Win: 11-1
Predicted Ownership: 18%
I am going to have a decent amount of exposure to Justin Rose this week as I find it hard to believe he doesn’t top 10 here. Rose has finished T6 or better in five of his last six starts and is coming into this week with three consecutive top 5 finishes. He ranks in the top 10 in both SG:T2G and GIR Percentage to along with the fact that he is 18th in Proximity 50-125. He also had a T6 last time the Barclays was played here in 2011. All the Roses this week!!!
Odds To Win: 22-1
Predicted Ownership: Chalk
Another week of golf, another write up of Brooks. Nothing to see here, move along. Ok, maybe just going to mention that he has three straight top 10s and has finished in the top 20 in his last 7 starts on Tour. He also ranks in the top 10 in GIR Percentage and SG:Putting and is 6th in Par 4 Scoring Average. But like I said, nothing to see here.
Odds To Win: 40-1
Predicted Ownership: 16.8%
Snedeker moved the wrong way on Sunday to finish with an uninspiring T43. That being said, he did shoot a 61 on Friday and he also holds the course record (61) that he posted here in 2011 on his way to a T3 finish. He ranks in the top 25 in Proximity 50-125 and Par 4 Scoring Average. He is also 5th in SG:Putting and at his price this week, he is an auto-play.
Odds To Win: 55-1
Predicted Ownership: 15.4%
Thomas was another guy who did not show up on Sunday. After three strong rounds at the Wyndham, it looked like JT would be in the mix on Sunday but that simply wasn’t the case. I expect this to keep his ownership percentage respectable and this gives us a great opportunity to capitalize on it. Prior to last week’s meltdown, Thomas had 3 straight top 20s and he ranks in the top 30 in SG:T2G, Proximity 50-125, and is 9th in Birdie Average. At 7700, he is a great value and on Victiv 6600 is a joke.
Odds To Win: 90-1
Predicted Ownership: 13.2%
I always find it interesting when there is a big mismatch on how a site prices a certain player. Victiv obviously likes Holmes more than DraftKings this week and for good reason. Holmes is finally getting back into form after a shaky month of July. He finished in the top 25 at the PGA Championship in his last start and that was with a disappointing final round 74. Holmes ranks in the top 15 in SG:T2G, Birdie Average, and Proximity 50-125. Make sure he is on your radar this week.
Odds To Win: 100-1
Predicted Ownership: 14.1%
This guy is slowly becoming one of my new favorite golfers to watch and if Berger doesn’t watch out, he may be out of the picture here shortly. Bohn has finished in the top 15 in 3 of his last 4 starts and sets up nicely once again this week. He ranks in the top 15 in Birdie Average and Proximity 50-125. He is 4th in Par 4 Scoring and he is a great bet for a top 25 at Plainfield this week.
Odds To Win: 250-1
Predicted Ownership: 5.2%
If you’re making a Spieth/Day or Spieth/DJ roster and need some salary relief, look no further than Adam Hadwin. The Canadian has finished in the top 25 in 3 of his last 4 starts on Tour. He was making a strong case for a 4th straight top 25 at the Wyndham before shooting 3 over par on Sunday. Look for Hadwin to keep that momentum moving forward this week in NJ.
Guys I’m Fading: Bubba Watson, Adam Scott, Phil Mickelson, Jimmy Walker, Pat Perez
My Winner: Jordan Spieth…I know this is the boring answer but this is pretty much impossible for Spieth to lose this week (reverse jinx) Go Berger!!!
Best of luck to everybody playing this week!!!
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