We have 2 early games this afternoon and then 13 games coming up in our evening slate. There is a ton of high end pitching options available so sorting through the best plays will take some careful consideration. No weather concerns at this time but make sure you have the weather forecasts available before locking in your lineups.
Mets(-160) @ Phillies 8.5
Padres @ Nationals(-185) 6.5
Pirates(-160) @ Marlins 8
Dodgers(-180) @ Reds 8
Rockies @ Braves(-140) 7.5
Cardinals @ D’Backs(-121) 8
Cubs @ Giants(-115) 7
Astros @ Yankees(-135) 7.5
Athletics @ Mariners(-160) 7
Angels @ Tigers(-145) 8.5
Twins @ Rays(-200) 6.5
Blue Jays(-175) @ Rangers 8.5
Red Sox @ White Sox(-185) 7.5
Orioles @ Royals(-170) 7
Brewers @ Indians(-160) 7
Chris Sale, Chicago White Sox (FD $12,500, DK $13,000) – Sale takes on a Red Sox offense that has been on a roll lately and also is an offense that knocked Sale out after 5 innings in his only start against them this year as they put up 7 runs on 12 hits in that game. The good news for us is that game was in Boston and this one is in Chicago as Sale has pitched to an ERA nearly a run better at home. The White Sox and Sale are -185 favorites in this game. The price tag is high and he probably comes in at option number 2 of the night, but his K upside is matched by nobody.
Chris Archer, Tampa Bay Rays (FD $11,800, DK $12,800) – Archer and the Rays are a -200 home favorite as they take on a Twins team that just spanked the Rays staff last night. With that said, Archer is the top option of the day as he just dominates teams. He is coming off of a 1 hit shutout in which he struck out 9. He feeds off of the home atmosphere as his strike out numbers jump when he is pitching in the Trop. He has made one start against the Twins this season and went 6 innings and gave up just 1 run on just 4 hits while striking out just 4. The Twins struggle with righties who have dominating stuff and Archer certainly fits that bill.
David Price, Toronto Blue Jays (FD $11,700, DK $11,300) – David Price has been absolutely awesome since joining the Jays at the deadline. He has yet to face the Rangers this season however his August ERA sits at 1.78 as he has allowed just 6 runs while striking out 33 thus far. The Blue Jays are a pretty sizable road favorite as they sit at -175. The game does have an over/under of 8.5 which is the highest of the day so that
Tyler Duffey, Minnesota Twins (FD $5900, DK $4600) – I know Duffey is a huge underdog in this game and for FD purposes, that might take him out of the equation however for just $5.9K do you really need to get the Win? Duffey has looked pretty good in his two starts since he was dismantled by the Blue Jays offense in his MLB debut. He has given up just 2 runs in 13.2 innings since that bad start and has struck out 15 batters in those 2 games, while picking up wins in both. I think you could do a lot worse than Duffey as the Rays offense just does not scare me at all against a right handed pitcher.
Patrick Corbin, Arizona Diamondbacks (FD $6800, DK $7500) – Corbin looked pretty bad in his most recent start, however I am going back to the well as I think he is in a positive spot tonight, even if it is against the Cardinals. Left handed hitters generally have trouble making hard contact against Corbin and I am all about taking a lefty against the Cardinals when they are without Holliday and Grichuk. Corbin and the D’Backs are a -121 favorite in this game. Corbin has pitched a ton better at home this season as his ERA is 2 runs lower at home as compared to on the road.
Shelby Miller, Atlanta Braves (FD $8300, DK $9500) – I really like Miller tonight as he may be up against a Rockies lineup that is without CarGo while pitching at home. The last time he faced the Rockies, Miller struggled as that game was in Coors as he was lit up for 5 runs in 5 innings, however he did manage to record 7 strikeouts. Miller and the Braves are a -140 favorite and this game has an over/under of just 7.5 runs. His strikeout numbers have really gone up throughout the season and I think he is a sneaky source for K’s tonight. The big question with Miller is always, “will the offense score enough for him?”
Johnny Cueto, Kansas City Royals (FD $11,500, DK $10,400) – If you’ve read my stuff all season long, you know that I am a big Cueto fan. Cueto was lit up in his last start, however I expect him to bounce back in a big way tonight. I know the match-up is not ideal as the Orioles can certainly put up runs in a hurry. Vegas has the Royals as a -170 home favorite in this one (I think that is slightly too high, however I am not a lines maker) and the over/under is tied with a couple of other games for the lowest of the night at 7 runs. With Cueto you have to worry about right handed hitting and the O’s have a lot of those guys, as he has held left handed hitters to a .181 average this season.
Toronto Blue Jays: Troy Tulowitzki (FD $3800, DK $4600), Josh Donaldson (FD $6200, DK $6300), Jose Bautista (FD $5100, DK $5400), Edwin Encarnacion (FD $5200, DK $4600) – The Blue Jays find themselves in a familiar spot as they should always be at the top of your wanting to stack list. The big problem is finding a way to afford them as they have gotten very pricey across the industry. They face Colby Lewis in Texas tonight and while Lewis has been pretty solid this season, he has not had to face an offense like this. I would certainly stack the top 6 in this lineup any night of the week.
New York Mets: Curtis Granderson (FD $3300, DK $4600), Yoenis Cespedes (FD $4200, DK $5300), Daniel Murphy (FD $4300, DK $4300), David Wright (FD $3700, DK $4400) – The Mets continue to mash the baseball and they face a rookie tonight who is making his second start. I feel comfortable stacking just about anybody in this lineup as the Mets have become a very dangerous team basically top to bottom. I lean towards the lefties more so than the righties at this point with seeing that 4 of the 5 hits he gave up in his debut went to left handed hitters.
Pittsburgh Pirates: Gregory Polanco (FD $3200, DK $3800), Starling Marte (FD $4000, DK $5100), Andrew McCutchen (FD $4900, DK $4900), Jung-Ho Kang (FD $3700, DK $4000) – The Pirates take on a soft tossing lefty tonight and should be in a spot to put up some numbers as they struggled against a lefty last night. I would certainly entertain using Harrison, Mercer, Ramirez, Cervelli or Morse depending on how they structure the lineup tonight.
Los Angeles Dodgers: Yasiel Puig (FD $2700, DK $3600), Adrian Gonzalez (FD $3100, DK $4100), Justin Turner (FD $3000, DK $3700), Scott Van Slyke (FD $2300, DK $2800) – The Dodgers take on another left handed pitcher tonight and should be in a great spot as Holmberg can be a very big gas can. With the park in Cincy playing so small, I could see the Dodgers pulling a Mets and sending multiple shots deep into the night. In fact, I want to go out on a limb and say the Dodgers hit 3+ bombs tonight.
My other thoughts for this fine Wednesday center around the fact that there is a ton of high priced pitching available to use. When we have so many options who are capable of putting up really strong games, it means that it is going to come down to your research at the pitcher position as most will be in the same boat and with the top options, the available bats to pair with them dwindle down and can lead to larger ownership %’s just based solely on the pitcher prices. I think today is perfect to spend extra time going over your pitching options, to see their histories against the opponent and their splits in order to find the 1, 2 or even 3 guys you think are in the best situations and build from there. I will tell you that the Dodgers should be a popular stack on FD, thanks to their pricing. Best of luck everybody, let me know on Twitter how your Pitcher research is going and I will certainly try to tweet out some random tid bits that I find throughout the day.