The MLB DFS season is quickly coming to a close. A lot of the excitement and analysis has switched to football and with good reason. The MLB GPPs at both FanDuel and DraftKings are starting to get smaller and smaller with everyone focusing on NFL. This is still a good time to play MLB however as some DFSers who have deposited into NFL are looking to get into some action with only MLB to play right now. There could be some easy money in games for the next couple weeks.
Marlins @ Braves(-118) 8.5
Phillies @ Mets(-205) 7.5
Reds @ Cubs
Nationals @ Cardinals(-150) 7
D’Backs(-115) @ Rockies 10.5
Giants @ Dodgers(-149) 7.5
Indians @ Blue Jays(-217) 7.5
Rays(-125) @ Orioles 7
Yankees @ Red Sox(-116) 9
Mariners @ Astros(-225) 7.5
Angels(-115) @ Athletics 7.5
Rangers @ Padres(-132) 6.5
Chris Archer, Tampa Bay Rays (FD $12,000, DK $12,300) – Archer and the Rays are just a -125 favorite as they take on the Orioles tonight. The game has an over/under of just 7 runs and should be a pretty tight game. Archer has been just mediocre against the Orioles so far in 2015 as he has made 3 starts against them and is 0-2 with a 4.08 ERA. He has 19 strikeouts in 17.2 innings, while allowing 17 hits against them. Archer has such a huge upside it’s almost possible to ignore as he racks up the K’s and is capable of shutting anybody down.
Dallas Keuchel, Houston Astros (FD $11,200, DK $12,100) – Keuchel gets to take on a Mariners team that did some damage against him in one starter earlier this season as they got to him for 5 earned in 6 innings, thanks to 5 hits and 4 walks. Keuchel did manage to strikeout 7 in that game. The great news for us is this game is in Houston and Keuchel is absolutely dominant when pitching at home. He has a home ERA of 1.35 and an average against of just .188 over 14 home starts this season. He has also not taken a loss when pitching at home as he sits 11-0. He and the Astros are a -225 favorite in this game.
David Price, Toronto Blue Jays (FD $11,500, DK $12,000) – Price gets to face an Indians team that he has dominated so far in 2015. He has allowed just 1 earned run in 21.1 innings against the Indians while striking out 21. The Blue Jays offense is on fire right now and Price should end up with a ton of run support, not that he really needs it. Price has an ERA of 1.98 across 36.1 August innings and he has managed to strike out 41.
Jake Peavy, San Francisco Giants (FD $7200, DK $6200) – Peavy gets to take on a Dodgers offense that was just No-Hit for the second time in a week and a half. Peavy has pitched better away from home this season as his strike out numbers nearly double when he pitches away from home. Batters are hitting .035 less against him on the road than at home. The Dodgers are a -149 favorite in this one, however I have a hard time believing that as the Giants offense should be in a decent spot against Brett Anderson.
Hector Santiago, Los Angeles Angels (FD $7600, DK $7700) – Santiago and the Angels are a -115 road favorite as they head to Oakland tonight. Santiago has faced the A’s twice so far in 2015 and is 1-0. He has managed to K 14 while throwing 11.2 innings and has allowed just 3 runs. Santiago has had trouble with the long ball in August as he is sporting an ERA of 5.13, however if you look closer you will realize that he has just been somewhat unlucky as he is allowing an average against him of just .216 in August, which would be the second best month of the season for him.
Tyson Ross, San Diego Padres (FD $8900, DK $9700) – Ross and the Padres are a -132 home favorite tonight as they take on the Rangers. The game has the lowest over/under of the slate as it sits at just 6.5 runs right now. Ross has made one start against the Rangers this year and shut them down through 6.2 innings as he allowed just 3 hits and 0 runs while striking out 6. Ross’ home ERA looks bad compared to his road one however you will notice that his HR numbers go down at home, as he has allowed just 1 so far this year, and his strikeouts per 9 jump to over 10 when pitching at PetCo.
Kyle Hendricks, Chicago Cubs (FD $7500, DK $6700) – I am a huge fan of Kyle Hendricks overall and think he often gets over looked and tonight should be much the same from an ownership standpoint. The game does not have a line as of yet as the Reds just officially named their starter and with it being in Wrigley, wind is always a factor. As long as the wind isn’t blowing straight out at 20 mph, I really like Hendricks to feed off of Arrieta’s no-hitter last night. Hendricks has K’d 16 Reds hitters in just 11 innings against them this season and while he has given up 6 runs in those 11 innings, he has allowed an average of just .256 which is right around his season’s average against.
Toronto Blue Jays: Josh Donaldson (FD $5900, DK $5900), Jose Bautista (FD $5700, DK $5400), Edwin Encarnacion (FD $5200, DK $4900), Troy Tulowitzki (FD $3800, DK $4400) – The Blue Jays are pretty good aren’t they? This offense is ridiculously excellent and are so potent that you can certainly use anybody in the lineup. They have recently moved Tulo to the 5 spot and I think that is the smart move. Revere being in the lead-off spot makes him an excellent addition to the stack.
Arizona Diamondbacks: Ender Inciarte (FD $3800, DK $4500), A.J. Pollock (FD $5100, DK $6000), Paul Goldschmidt (FD $5600, DK $6200), David Peralta (FD $4000, DK $4000) – The D’Backs travel to Coors Field and that is a great thing for us as they are one of the top offenses across baseball. With the game being in Coors, the entire lineup is in play against Bettis and the terrible Rockies bullpen. I hope that the D’Backs go with Castillo at C in this game as I love his power potential, especially in this park.
New York Yankees: Jacoby Ellsbury (FD $3100, DK $4500), Chris Young (FD $3200, DK $2900), Alex Rodriguez (FD $3500, DK $4700), Carlos Beltran (FD $3600, DK $4100) – The Yankees have come alive from an offensive standpoint lately and tonight they get to face a rookie left handed pitcher. The Yankees have hit 3 home runs off of Rodriguez already (2 Ellsbury and 1 ARod) and with the way they are swinging the bat right now, I expect that number to go up tonight at Fenway. Make sure you check their lineup to see how they piece the top 6 together in this one as Teixeira has missed 10 of the last 11 games.
Tampa Bay Rays: Daniel Nava (FD $2600, DK $2000), Evan Longoria (FD $2400, DK $3300), Logan Forsythe (FD $3200, DK $3600) – I love the Rays going up against a left handed pitcher and tonight they get Chen, who is prone to giving up the long ball. The Rays have hit 6 home runs against Chen this season in 4 games against him. I think you can include Butler, Beckham and Jennings in your stack.
I certainly wanted to include the offenses of the Cubs, Astros, Marlins, Giants and even the Rockies (since it is in Coors). Those guys are in some positive spots and could certainly provide some fire works as aside from the Marlins, the others can rack up the long balls quickly from the middle of their orders. The Marlins intrigue me because left handed hitters absolutely destroy Foltynewicz. Make sure you pay attention to the weather tonight as it appears there are a few games that have some issues. When putting together your lineups, make sure to take a look at some of the platoon players as there seems to be a handful of guys who will find themselves in the lineup as their team is facing a left handed starter. I would suggest finding ways to sprinkle in guys like Butler, Young, Gomes, Byrd and even somebody like Franklin Gutierrez even though he is facing Keuchel.